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Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Liga MX Estadio Corona Torreón Pending Match page
Santos Laguna FC Juarez

Prediction for

Win: Santos Laguna

41%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

41% 1
25% X
34% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 01:13

Santos Laguna to edge FC Juarez in a tight encounter. The hosts have shown they can compete despite a winless league campaign, and Juarez's complete lack of points makes them vulnerable away from home. Santos win 1-0.

The table tells a grim story for both sides. Santos Laguna sit 17th with just 1 point from 7 matches, while FC Juarez languish at the bottom with 0 points from 7 defeats. Neither side has tasted victory yet this season. Santos have managed one draw, against Tigres UANL, but have lost their other six league games. Juarez have been shut out in five of those seven matches and have conceded 17 goals in their last five outings alone.

Recent form offers a sliver of hope for the hosts. Santos have won one and drawn one in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2:0 victory over Philadelphia Union. Juarez have lost all five of their last matches, conceding 17 goals and scoring just 2.

In 8 meetings over recent years, Juarez have won 5 times to Santos' 2 victories and 1 draw. The most recent encounter ended 2:2 in Torreón back in January. However, that result came at a time when both sides were finding their feet. Santos have struggled since then, while Juarez's form has deteriorated further.

Santos are expected to score 1.5 goals, Juarez 1.3. The most likely outcomes are 1:1 (12%), 1:0 (9%) and 2:1 (9%). A draw probability sits at 25%, while both teams to score comes in at 57%. These figures suggest a tight contest where home advantage could prove decisive.

Santos Laguna to win. The hosts score 28% of their goals between 46 and 60 minutes and concede 28% between 61 and 75 — if Juarez can exploit that window, the match could easily tilt the other way. A draw suits Juarez, who prefer to run the clock down.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 01:13
  • Сантос Лагуна — 17. place, 1 points after 7 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 6 losses)
  • Хуарес — 18. place, 0 points after 7 games (0 wins, 7 losses)
  • Сантос Лагуна, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Хуарес, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Сантос Лагуна — 2, 1 draws, Хуарес — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Santos Laguna WLLDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
FC Juarez LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 12

4Santos Laguna 3Draw 5FC Juarez
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+