Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sardarapat vs Syunik: match prediction on 31 August 2026
Sardarapat
Syunik
Prediction for
Win: Sardarapat
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
51%
1
26%
X
24%
2
Average bookmaker line (40)
1.78
1
3.54
X
3.85
2
Odds range
1.69 — 1.83
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 13:06- Сардарапат — 6. place, 7 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Сюник — 11. place, 1 points after 4 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
- Сардарапат, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
- Сюник, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Сардарапат — 2, 2 draws, Сюник — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sardarapat
DDWLL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Syunik
DDLDL
3 draws · 2 losses
Head to head 4
2Sardarapat
2Draw
0Syunik
- 27 AugSardarapat — Syunik1:1
- 11 JulSardarapat — Syunik1:1
- 17 MaySardarapat — Syunik2:1
- 5 Nov 2025Syunik — Sardarapat1:3
Bookmaker market
40
bookmakers counted
1.78
Average bookmaker line
1.69 — 1.83
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 13:06Sardarapat Win
Sardarapat arrive in better shape on every metric that matters. They sit sixth in the Premier League with seven points from three matches, unbeaten across the opening stretch. Syunik occupy eleventh with a solitary point from four outings, having lost three of those games. The gap between them is seven points, and Sardarapat's superior form suggests they are the stronger side.
Form Favors the Home Side
Sardarapat's last five matches produced two wins and three draws, with nine goals scored and five conceded. Their results include a 2:1 victory over Ararat and a 4:1 win against Van, both in the league. Syunik managed only one win in their last five encounters, taking five points from a 1:2:2 record. They beat Gandzasar 3:1 at home but suffered 0:3 defeats away to Banants Yerevan and Artsakh. The defensive fragility shows in the numbers: Syunik have conceded nine goals in five games compared to Sardarapat's five.
Head-to-Head Dominance
The four meetings between these sides in recent years tell a clear story. Sardarapat have won two, drawn two, and never lost to Syunik. The most recent encounter was a 1:1 friendly on 11 July 2026. Before that, Sardarapat won 2:1 in the First League on 17 May 2026 and 3:1 away on 5 November 2025. Syunik have not won a meeting in this period.
Model Points to Home Victory
The statistical model expects Sardarapat to score 1.6 goals and Syunik 1.0. The draw probability sits at 25%, while both teams scoring is assessed at 51%. The three most likely scorelines are 1:0 at 12%, 1:1 at 12%, and 2:0 at 10%. Sardarapat's expected goals figure is higher, and the model does not place the draw among the top two outcomes. A home win is the most probable result.
When the Prediction Fails
A draw would break this conclusion. Syunik have shown they can grind out results, taking draws against Van and Banants Yerevan in their recent fixtures. If they manage to contain Sardarapat's attack and exploit the 76-90 minute period—where both sides concede heavily, 75% for Sardarapat and 53% for Syunik—they could salvage a point. A late equaliser would suit the visitors, and given how they have run games in draws recently, that is the main threat to this prediction.