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Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe vs CFR 1907 Cluj: match prediction on 1 September 2026

Cupa României Sepsi Arena Sfântu Gheorghe Hit Match page
Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe CFR 1907 Cluj

Prediction for

Win: CFR 1907 Cluj

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

17% 1
24% X
59% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:27

CFR 1907 Cluj to avoid defeat

65%

Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe have not lost in five matches, accumulating nine points from two victories and three draws. Their defensive record in that span is tight — one goal conceded across all competitions. The most recent outing saw them edge Argeș Pitești 1:0 away, while earlier they secured a 2:0 cup victory over Slatina.

CFR 1907 Cluj are in a different rhythm. Two wins and three defeats in their last five games have yielded six points, but the goal difference tells a starker story: five scored, twelve conceded. The league result against Corvinul Hunedoara — a 3:0 loss — followed a narrow 1:0 win over FCSB and a 3:2 victory at Csikszereda.

The head-to-head record over recent years favours the visitors. In eleven meetings, CFR 1907 Cluj have won five, drawn four, and lost twice. That includes a 3:3 thriller at home in October 2024 and a 2:1 victory in April 2024. The pattern suggests matches between these sides rarely produce clear-cut results.

The model assigns Sepsi 0.8 expected goals and CFR 1.7. A 24% chance of a draw sits alongside a 44% probability both teams score. The most likely outcomes are 0:1 at 14%, 0:2 at 12%, and 1:1 at 11%. Sepsi concentrate their attacking output late — 41% of their 29 goals arrive in the final 15 minutes. CFR concede heavily in the closing stages too, with 23% of their 31 goals against coming after the 75th minute.

This conclusion stops holding if Sepsi's late-game dominance translates into an early lead. If they break through before that window opens, CFR's defensive fragility — particularly in the final quarter — could be exposed. A draw suits the visitors given how they manage games, but an early Sepsi goal would change the dynamic entirely.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:27
  • Сепси, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • КФР 1907 Клуж, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 11 games, Сепси — 2, 4 draws, КФР 1907 Клуж — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe WDWLL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
CFR 1907 Cluj LWWWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 18

4Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 5Draw 9CFR 1907 Cluj
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+