Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
CFR 1907 Cluj
Prediction for
Win: CFR 1907 Cluj
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 18
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:27CFR 1907 Cluj to avoid defeat
65%
Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe have not lost in five matches, accumulating nine points from two victories and three draws. Their defensive record in that span is tight — one goal conceded across all competitions. The most recent outing saw them edge Argeș Pitești 1:0 away, while earlier they secured a 2:0 cup victory over Slatina.
CFR 1907 Cluj are in a different rhythm. Two wins and three defeats in their last five games have yielded six points, but the goal difference tells a starker story: five scored, twelve conceded. The league result against Corvinul Hunedoara — a 3:0 loss — followed a narrow 1:0 win over FCSB and a 3:2 victory at Csikszereda.
The head-to-head record over recent years favours the visitors. In eleven meetings, CFR 1907 Cluj have won five, drawn four, and lost twice. That includes a 3:3 thriller at home in October 2024 and a 2:1 victory in April 2024. The pattern suggests matches between these sides rarely produce clear-cut results.
The model assigns Sepsi 0.8 expected goals and CFR 1.7. A 24% chance of a draw sits alongside a 44% probability both teams score. The most likely outcomes are 0:1 at 14%, 0:2 at 12%, and 1:1 at 11%. Sepsi concentrate their attacking output late — 41% of their 29 goals arrive in the final 15 minutes. CFR concede heavily in the closing stages too, with 23% of their 31 goals against coming after the 75th minute.
This conclusion stops holding if Sepsi's late-game dominance translates into an early lead. If they break through before that window opens, CFR's defensive fragility — particularly in the final quarter — could be exposed. A draw suits the visitors given how they manage games, but an early Sepsi goal would change the dynamic entirely.