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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Sportivo Belgrano
Bartolomé Mitre
Prediction for
Win: Sportivo Belgrano
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
56%
1
28%
X
16%
2
Average bookmaker line (28)
1.60
1
3.26
X
5.68
2
Odds range
1.56 — 1.65
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41- Спортиво Белграно — 8. place, 2 points after 5 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Бартломе Митре — 9. place, 1 points after 4 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
- Спортиво Белграно, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Бартломе Митре, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sportivo Belgrano
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Bartolomé Mitre
LLLWD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Bookmaker market
28
bookmakers counted
1.60
Average bookmaker line
1.56 — 1.65
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41Sportivo Belgrano are 1.60 to win against Bartolomé Mitre on 30 August, a price that I see reflects the market’s view of the hosts as clear favourites. The service prediction stands at 46% confidence for a home victory, based on the model’s expectation of 1 goal for the hosts against 0.5 for the visitors. The line has remained static since opening at 1.60 across 28 firms, suggesting no significant team news has shifted the balance.
Sportivo Belgrano sit 8th with 2 points from 5 matches, having drawn twice and lost three times while conceding eight goals. Bartolomé Mitre trail just below in 9th with 1 point from 4 games, recording one draw and four defeats. The visitors have scored only twice all season, matching the home side’s tally of one goal in five outings. Both teams have failed to win in their opening fixtures, creating a tense atmosphere for the encounter.
The model projects a low-scoring affair with a 0:0 draw at 23% likelihood. A 1:0 victory for Sportivo Belgrano follows at 22%, while a 0:1 result for the visitors stands at 11%. The probability of a draw sits at 36%, yet the model still leans towards the hosts due to their expected goal output.
Sportivo Belgrano concede 32% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, a period where Bartolomé Mitre score 38% of theirs between the 61st and 75th minutes. The visitors have not conceded a single goal in the last quarter of an hour this season, but their overall defensive record shows 33% of goals allowed in the 46th to 60th minute. These periods indicate where the match could become decisive rather than a fixed timetable for goals, highlighting the importance of late-game management.
The prediction fails if Sportivo Belgrano lose their discipline early. J. Cavilla has received one red card in the last three weeks, and an early dismissal would remove the numerical advantage the hosts rely on. Without that edge, the visitors’ ability to control possession at 53% could shift the match towards a draw or an away victory.