Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Struga
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (31)
Odds range
1.36 — 1.45
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 10
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:46Struga to win at 1.47. The Macedonian side has not lost a single meeting with Bregalnica Štip in six attempts — four victories and two draws — and carries that momentum into Saturday's clash at home. The model puts Struga's expected goals at 1.9 against 0.9 for the visitors, and the bookmakers have priced the home side confidently at 1.47 across 24 bookmakers.
Form and position
Struga sit fourth with 7 points from 4 matches, while Bregalnica Štip trail in fifth with 6 points. Both sides have won 2 of their league games so far, but Struga's draw against Skopje keeps them ahead on goal difference. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 outings, including a 1-0 home victory over Vardar Skopje and a 3-0 win against Shkëndija Haraçinë. Bregalnica Štip have also won 3 of their last 5, but those results came at home against Bashkimi Kumanovo (3-0), Aresimi (4-0) and Pobeda (7-0). Their away record tells a different story: a 1-4 defeat to Shkëndija Tetovo and a 0-2 loss to Vardar Skopje.
Head-to-head
Struga's dominance in this fixture is clear. The last 6 meetings produced 4 wins for Struga and 2 draws, with Bregalnica Štip failing to secure a single victory. The most recent encounter ended 2-2 in April 2024, but before that Struga won 2-1 at home in December 2023 and 3-1 away in September 2023.
Late-game patterns
Struga score 36 per cent of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while Bregalnica Štip concede half their goals in the 61st to 75th minute and another half in the 76th to 90th. Struga tend to find their rhythm after the break, with 25 per cent of their goals coming between the 46th and 60th minute. Bregalnica Štip are quieter early on, scoring 29 per cent of their goals in both the 16th to 30th and 46th to 60th minute segments.
When the prediction fails
M. Hamza carries a red card from earlier in the season and could miss this match if suspension rules apply. If Hamza is unavailable, Struga's attacking options change. The prediction also assumes Bregalnica Štip continue their away struggles; a home advantage elsewhere in their schedule might suggest they are capable of more, but the two away defeats this season — 1-4 and 0-2 — set a concerning precedent. A draw would suit the visitors' tendency to manage games, but Struga's 36 per cent of goals in the closing stages makes a late winner plausible.