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United vs NA Suruchi Sangha: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Calcutta Premier Division Kalyani Municipal Corporation Stadium Kalyani Hit Match page
United NA Suruchi Sangha

Prediction for

Win: United

43%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46% 1
28% X
27% 2

Average bookmaker line (23)

1.98 1
3.26 X
3.37 2

Odds range

1.95 — 2.05

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 08:28

The hosts sit 12th with 14 points from nine games compared to the visitors' 19th place and nine points from eight matches. United's last five games have yielded three wins, one draw and one loss, while NA Suruchi Sangha managed two wins, one draw and two defeats over the same span.

United's home record

Their most recent fixture was a 1-2 away loss to Aryan on 28 August, but before that they beat Police 3-0 and drew 1-1 with Mohammedan SC at home. The pattern suggests a side comfortable in their own ground, though the draw against Mohammedan SC shows they can still struggle to break down organised defences.

Visitors' away struggles

NA Suruchi Sangha have played only one away game this season, losing 0-2 to Mohammedan SC on 30 July. Their other four matches have come at home, where they won against Kalighat Club and Rainbow but drew with Wari and lost to Police. The visitors have scored eight goals in five games but conceded five, with their away record offering little to build upon.

Head-to-head pattern

The two sides have met twice before, splitting the results evenly. NA Suruchi Sangha won 2-1 at home in July 2024, while United responded with a 2-2 draw at their own ground in September 2025. Neither result was particularly decisive, and the most recent encounter ended in a stalemate that suggests these fixtures tend to be tight affairs.

Model expectations

The statistical model projects United to score 1.3 goals and NA Suruchi Sangha 1.1, with a 27% probability of a draw and 48% chance both teams find the net. The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 at 13%, 1-0 at 12% and 0-1 at 10%. United's attacking distribution shows 33% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes, while NA Suruchi Sangha have scored 50% of their six goals after the 75th minute, suggesting both sides can be dangerous late on.

When the prediction fails

This conclusion stops holding if NA Suruchi Sangha replicate their away defeat pattern against a more disciplined United side. The visitors have conceded 36% of their goals in the 61-75 minute period and 36% in the 31-45 minute window, but United have been particularly vulnerable in the 31-45 minute segment, conceding 45% of their 11 goals during that time. If the visitors exploit that window while United fail to capitalise on their own late-game strength, the home advantage evaporates.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 08:28
  • Юнайтед — 10. place, 14 points after 9 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
  • Суручи Санга — 19. place, 9 points after 8 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses)
  • Юнайтед, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Суручи Санга, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Юнайтед — 0, 1 draws, Суручи Санга — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

United DWLWW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
NA Suruchi Sangha WLDLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 2

0United 1Draw 1NA Suruchi Sangha
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

23 bookmakers counted
1.98 Average bookmaker line
1.95 — 2.05 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+