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Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Baia Mare Women vs CSM București Women: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Baia Mare Women
CSM București Women
Prediction for
Win: CSM București Women
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
29%
1
71%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 16:05- Баэ-Маре Женщины — 10. place, 4 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
- Женская команда CSM Бухарест — 1. place, 10 points after 5 games (5 wins, 0 losses)
- Баэ-Маре Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Женская команда CSM Бухарест, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Баэ-Маре Женщины — 1, 1 draws, Женская команда CSM Бухарест — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Baia Mare Women
WWLLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
CSM București Women
LLWWD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 9
1Baia Mare Women
1Draw
7CSM București Women
- 14 JanBaia Mare Women — CSM București Women27:27
- 30 Aug 2025CSM București Women — Baia Mare Women34:33
- 30 Apr 2025Baia Mare Women — CSM București Women32:31
- 13 Nov 2024CSM București Women — Baia Mare Women30:23
- 21 Feb 2024CSM București Women — Baia Mare Women33:28
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 16:05CSM București Women face Baia Mare on 15 October. The visitors have won six of the last eight meetings between these sides, and the model gives CSM București 36.6 expected goals against Baia Mare's 22.2. That conclusion stops holding if the model's figures do not materialise or if an early incident changes the shape of the game.
Baia Mare Women are 10th with 4 points from five matches, two wins and three draws. The gap at the top is six points, and CSM București remain unbeaten while Baia Mare have yet to lose but have also failed to build momentum.
Over the last five matches Baia Mare have won twice and lost three times, scoring 153 goals and conceding 157. CSM București have won three and lost two in the same period, with 161 goals scored and 139 conceded. The visitors have won their last league meeting 34:33 at home and drew 27:27 in the reverse fixture earlier this season.
The most recent encounter ended 27:27 in January, but before that CSM București won four of the five previous meetings, including a 33:28 victory in February 2024.
The model rules out a draw, and a three-goal margin is ruled out. The most likely outcome is a comfortable away victory for CSM București, if the model's figures match the teams' actual quality.
The prediction holds only if CSM București maintain their attacking output and Baia Mare cannot find a way to contain them. A draw would suit the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat to the conclusion.