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Dobrudja vs NSA Sofia: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Dobrudja
NSA Sofia
Prediction for
Win: Dobrudja
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
53%
1
47%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 13:05- Добруджа — 9. place, 1 points after 2 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- НСА София — 4. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Добруджа, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- НСА София, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Добруджа — 2, НСА София — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dobrudja
LWDLL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
NSA Sofia
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 6
2Dobrudja
0Draw
4NSA Sofia
- 15 MarNSA Sofia — Dobrudja35:28
- 19 Oct 2025Dobrudja — NSA Sofia34:24
- 22 Mar 2025NSA Sofia — Dobrudja35:31
- 23 Nov 2024Dobrudja — NSA Sofia32:36
- 17 Feb 2024NSA Sofia — Dobrudja28:24
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 13:05The match data provided describes the fixtures and league standings for the Bulgarian First League (A RHG) up to 11 October 2026. However, the specific result of the encounter between Dobrudja and NSA Sofia on that date is not included in the supplied figures. As the match outcome is not stated, the report cannot detail the scoreline, the sequence of goals, or the final position of the teams in the table following the game.
Context and History
The provided figures outline the historical context of the fixture rather than the event itself. In the head-to-head record for the A RHG, the teams have met six times, with Dobrudja winning two and NSA Sofia winning four. The most recent meeting occurred on 15 March 2026, where NSA Sofia defeated Dobrudja 35-28. Prior to that, Dobrudja had won 34-24 at home in October 2025. The data indicates NSA Sofia entered the current season with one win from one match, while Dobrudja had played two matches, securing one draw and one defeat.
Statistical Models and Predictions
Pre-match analysis provided in the data included a statistical model forecasting goal totals. The model predicted an average of 30.8 goals for Dobrudja and 30.3 for NSA Sofia. It assigned a 0% probability to a draw and a 0% probability to both teams scoring. The model also indicated a 0% likelihood of three or more goals being scored, a figure that appears statistically inconsistent with the high-scoring nature of the previous encounters listed, such as the 40-30 result in 2023. Without the actual match data, the accuracy of these predictions cannot be verified.
Current Standing
The standings data reflects the positions prior to the match in question. NSA Sofia was listed in fifth place with two points from one game, while Dobrudja occupied tenth place with one point from two games. The text notes a discrepancy in the initial summary regarding league positions versus the database standings, but without the match result, the impact on these positions remains unknown.