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Herzogenbuchsee Women vs Rotweiss Thun Women: match prediction on 13 September 2026

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Herzogenbuchsee Women Rotweiss Thun Women

Prediction for

Win: Herzogenbuchsee Women

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

55% 1
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00

Herzogenbuchsee Women are the clear favourites to win this encounter, a conclusion drawn from their overwhelming historical dominance over Rotweiss Thun Women in recent years. This assessment would not hold if the visitors find a way to contain the high-scoring nature of these fixtures.

Two draws. Zero points. Sixth and seventh.

The recent form of both squads offers little comfort. Herzogenbuchsee have lost all five of their last matches, conceding 168 goals while scoring 120. Rotweiss Thun fare marginally better with one win, two draws and two losses in their previous five outings, though they have also conceded more than they have scored, 163 against 138.

Historical context changes everything. Over the last 15 meetings, Herzogenbuchsee Women have won nine times, Rotweiss Thun five, with one draw. The most recent encounter on 15 November 2025 ended 24:22 to the visitors, but that was at Thun's ground. Since then, the pattern has been consistent. They have rarely lost to this opponent.

The model expects a high-scoring affair. Herzogenbuchsee are projected to score 29.8 goals, Rotweiss Thun 28. These figures represent averages across many simulated versions of the match, not a prediction of the exact final score. These numbers suggest the model anticipates a decisive result with one side pulling away.

A draw would suit the visitors given how they tend to manage games. Rotweiss Thun have shown resilience in their last five matches with two draws, and they know they can hold their own against this opponent. If they can exploit the defensive vulnerabilities that have cost Herzogenbuchsee 168 goals in five games, they could steal a point. That scenario is the primary threat to the home side's victory.

The model's figures are computed from goals scored and conceded. They know nothing of injuries or suspensions — and none are reported in the available data. If the home side's attack is missing key players, that would shift the estimate significantly. Without such information, the historical record and the model's projections point in the same direction.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00
  • Герцогенбухзе (жен) — 6. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ротвайс Тун (женская) — 8. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Герцогенбухзе (жен), last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Ротвайс Тун (женская), last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Герцогенбухзе (жен) — 9, 1 draws, Ротвайс Тун (женская) — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Herzogenbuchsee Women LLLLL 5 losses
Rotweiss Thun Women WDDLL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 15

9Herzogenbuchsee Women 1Draw 5Rotweiss Thun Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+