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Zvezda Zvenigorod Women vs Krasnodar Women: match prediction on 15 October 2026

Super League Women Zvezda Sports Complex Zvenigorod Miss Match page
Zvezda Zvenigorod Women Krasnodar Women

Prediction for

Win: Zvezda Zvenigorod Women

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05

Krasnodar Women are clear favourites for this encounter. They have won nine of twelve meetings between the sides, including five of the last six, and their recent form is markedly superior to Zvezda Zvenigorod Women's.

Zvezda have lost three of their last five matches, conceding 163 goals while scoring 148. Their most recent defeat came in the opening fixture of October, a 24:38 home loss to Rostov-Don Women, and they have not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of those five games. Krasnodar, by contrast, have won four of their last five, with only a 22:31 defeat to Dinamo-Sinara Volgograd Women on 25 September breaking their run. They scored 162 goals in that period against 141 conceded.

Both sides remain unbeaten after seven matches, but Krasnodar sit sixth on eight points while Zvezda occupy eighth place on six. The two-point gap reflects the difference in results: Krasnodar's four victories against Zvezda's three, with both teams sharing the remaining matches in draws.

Krasnodar's dominance in this fixture is not a recent development. They have won nine of twelve meetings, with Zvezda claiming two victories and there being one draw. The most recent encounter on 11 January 2026 ended 29:30 to Krasnodar, and in the last six meetings Krasnodar have won five, with one draw.

The model expects Zvezda to score 29.4 goals and Krasnodar 27.9, but assigns a 0% probability to a draw.

A draw would suit Zvezda's approach of grinding out results, and their recent defensive struggles could reverse if they adopt a more cautious strategy. Krasnodar have not faced many away fixtures in their last five matches, and fatigue from travel could play a part if the venue conditions are poor.

The conclusion stops holding if Zvezda's defensive organization improves significantly, or if Krasnodar suffer unexpected absences in key positions.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05
  • Звезда Звенигород Женщин — 8. place, 6 points after 7 games (3 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses)
  • Краснодар (жен.) — 6. place, 8 points after 7 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Звезда Звенигород Женщин, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Краснодар (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, Звезда Звенигород Женщин — 2, 1 draws, Краснодар (жен.) — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Zvezda Zvenigorod Women LLLWD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Krasnodar Women LWWWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 13

3Zvezda Zvenigorod Women 1Draw 9Krasnodar Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+