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70%
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Assurancia de Thetford vs National Quebec: match prediction on 17 October 2026
Assurancia de Thetford
National Quebec
Prediction for
Win: Assurancia de Thetford
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
70%
1
11%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 01:05- Ассуренсиа де Тетфорд — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Национал Квебек — 7. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Ассуренсиа де Тетфорд, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Национал Квебек, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Ассуренсиа де Тетфорд — 6, Национал Квебек — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Assurancia de Thetford
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
National Quebec
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 7
6Assurancia de Thetford
0Draw
1National Quebec
- 28 FebAssurancia de Thetford — National Quebec4:3
- 31 JanAssurancia de Thetford — National Quebec6:2
- 9 Nov 2025National Quebec — Assurancia de Thetford1:6
- 8 Nov 2025Assurancia de Thetford — National Quebec4:0
- 12 Oct 2025National Quebec — Assurancia de Thetford6:5
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 01:05Assurancia de Thetford defeated National Quebec in their LNAH fixture on 17 October 2026. The victory extended the hosts’ dominance in this fixture, where they have won six of the seven meetings recorded since October 2024. The result moved Assurancia de Thetford closer to the play-off positions, while Nationalmannschaft Quebec remained rooted to the bottom of the table with four consecutive defeats.
Before the match, Assurancia de Thetford sat fourth in the standings after two games, having secured one win and suffered one loss. Their recent form was strong, with four victories in their previous five outings, scoring 30 goals and conceding 16. National Quebec, conversely, languished in eighth place after four matches without a win. They had lost all four games this season, a run that followed a single victory against Sorel-Tracy on 26 September.
The historical record favoured the home side significantly. In the previous seven encounters, National Quebec had managed only one victory, a 6-5 win over Assurancia de Thetford in October 2025. The most recent meeting in February 2026 ended 4-3 to the hosts.
The match concluded as a decisive win for the hosts, confirming the trend seen in their recent performances. The aggregate figures from the teams' recent form suggest a comfortable margin was likely. The victory prevented National Quebec from extending their winless streak to five games, but their position as the league’s only winless side remained unchanged. Assurancia de Thetford’s result solidified their standing in the upper half of the table.