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MODO Hockey Women vs Frölunda W: match prediction on 19 September 2026

SDHL Women Hägglunds Arena Örnsköldsvik Miss Match page
MODO Hockey Women Frölunda W

Prediction for

Win: Frölunda W

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
19% X
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 13:08

Standings Update After Opening Round

Following the conclusion of the first matchweek in the SDHL Women, the league table reflects two teams with identical records but different positions. MODO Hockey Women occupy third place with 0 points after two games, while Frölunda W sit in fifth place, also with 0 points after two matches. Both sides have registered one win and one defeat.

MODO Hockey Women are listed as having 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, while Frölunda W are similarly listed with 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head Context

MODO Hockey Women enter this fixture having won their opening game 4-0 against Luleå HF Women on 17 September 2026. Their previous five-match record stands at two wins and three losses, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. In contrast, Frölunda W suffered a 0-3 defeat to Brynäs Women in their most recent outing on 16 September 2026, following a 5-2 victory over Färjestad Women on 9 September 2026.

The head-to-head history between these sides is evenly matched, with six wins apiece across twelve meetings in recent years. Notable results include MODO Hockey Women's 6-2 victory over Frölunda W on 11 January 2026 and Frölunda W's 3-1 win at home on 16 November 2025. The most recent encounter prior to this match took place on 11 January 2026, when MODO Hockey Women defeated Frölunda W 6-2.

Statistical Expectations and Match Outcome

Pre-match modelling predicted a high-scoring affair, with expected goals set at 2.1 for MODO Hockey Women and 2.4 for Frölunda W. The model indicated an 80% probability that both teams would score and an 82% chance of three or more goals being scored in the match. The most probable predicted scorelines were 2-2 (7%) and 1-2 (7%).

Despite the prediction of a close contest, the actual result did not materialise as forecasted. The match concluded with a result that diverged from the statistical projections.

Implications for the Season

The current standings place MODO Hockey Women in a more favourable position than Frölunda W, despite both teams having identical win-loss records. This positional difference may influence tactical approaches in future matches. MODO Hockey Women's third-place standing offers a marginally better perspective for the remainder of the season compared to Frölunda W's fifth-place position.

Both teams remain unbeaten in terms of losses only if considering their single defeat each, but neither has accumulated points in the current standings format.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 13:08
  • МОДО Хоккей (женщины) — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Фрёлунда W — 1. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • МОДО Хоккей (женщины), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Фрёлунда W, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, МОДО Хоккей (женщины) — 6, Фрёлунда W — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

MODO Hockey Women LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Frölunda W LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 12

6MODO Hockey Women 0Draw 6Frölunda W
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+