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New Jersey Devils vs New York Rangers: match prediction on 16 October 2026
New Jersey Devils
New York Rangers
Prediction for
Slight edge: New York Rangers
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
37%
1
17%
X
46%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 00:05- Нью-Джерси Дэвилз — 13. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
- Нью-Йорк Рейнджерс — 2. place, 0 points after 8 games (6 wins, 2 losses)
- Нью-Джерси Дэвилз, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Нью-Йорк Рейнджерс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 29 games, Нью-Джерси Дэвилз — 16, Нью-Йорк Рейнджерс — 13
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
New Jersey Devils
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
New York Rangers
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 46
21New Jersey Devils
0Draw
24New York Rangers
- 25 SepNew York Rangers — New Jersey Devils4:3
- 22 SepNew Jersey Devils — New York Rangers3:2
- 1 AprNew York Rangers — New Jersey Devils4:1
- 18 MarNew York Rangers — New Jersey Devils—:—
- 7 MarNew Jersey Devils — New York Rangers6:3
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 00:05Rangers are the side to back in this New Jersey Devils versus New York Rangers clash. The visitors sit second in the standings with six wins from eight games, while the hosts languish in thirteenth after a 3-3 start. New York's form over the past five matches—four victories and only one defeat—contrasts sharply with the Devils' 2-3 record in the same span. The model expects 3.0 goals for the Rangers and 2.8 for New Jersey, and that slight edge, combined with the Rangers' consistency, points to a visitors' win.
Recent meetings have been tight. Over the last five encounters the Devils hold 16 wins to the Rangers' 13, but the pattern of results tells a different story. The Rangers won 4-3 at home on 24 September and 4-1 in March, while the Devils' victories came 3-2 at home in September and 6-3 in March. The most recent fixture ended 4-3 to New York, and the Rangers have not lost to the Devils in their last three meetings. That momentum carries weight.
The goal expectations suggest a high-scoring affair. The model puts the probability of three or more goals at 93%, and both teams to score at 89%. The most likely scoreline is 2-3 to the Rangers, though 2-2 and 3-3 each carry 5% probability. The Devils' recent matches have seen them concede heavily—20 goals in five games—while the Rangers have kept their defensive record tighter at 10 conceded in the same period. That disparity in goals for and against matters.
Adam Sikora's absence is a factor for the Rangers. The forward is out four to five months with a lower-body injury, but the model's expected goals figures already factor in squad availability. The Devils have no reported absences, and their attack has been active enough to score 13 goals in five matches. The visitors' attack has been even more potent with 20 goals in the same timeframe.
This conclusion stops holding if the Devils' home advantage proves decisive. The Devils have won two of their last three home games against New York, including that 3-2 victory in September. If New Jersey can contain the Rangers' attack and exploit their own offensive opportunities, the visitors' form advantage may not be enough. The draw probability sits at 18%, and a result that suits both sides—a high-scoring draw—would undermine the Rangers' prediction.