Regina Pats vs Prince Albert Raiders: match prediction on 12 September 2026

Prince Albert Raiders to win, with 65% confidence. Prince Albert lead on expected goals, 4.5 to 2.8. Prince Albert have won 23 of 31 meetings. Regina can upset this if they keep it tight and cap the total at two.

Regina Pats have found some form recently. Three wins in their last five matches, including a 7-3 victory at Moose Jaw and back-to-back 6-4 and 6-3 wins against Brandon Wheat Kings. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 19. The two losses came against Medicine Hat Tigers, 4-5 away and 2-4 at home in April.

Prince Albert Raiders are in a difficult patch. One win and four defeats in their last five games, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded for just 3 points. The solitary victory came 5-3 against Moose Jaw at home in September. The results include a 2-5 loss to Saskatoon and three heavy defeats to Everett Silvertips in May.

Regina managed a 5-4 win in December 2025.

A high-scoring away win is likely. The draw probability sits at 13%, while BTTS stands at 93 per cent, with 97 per cent of fixtures producing three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 2:4 at 5%, 3:4 at 4%, and 2:3 at 4%. All three outcomes favour Prince Albert Raiders.

Regina must park the bus and go dead in the second to keep the total under three.