Shawinigan Cataractes vs Sherbrooke Phoenix: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Shawinigan Cataractes to win against Sherbrooke Phoenix, confidence 58%. Expect 4.1 goals for the home side and 2.9 for the visitors, which fits the historical pattern where Shawinigan has dominated this fixture.

The visitors arrive on a perfect run. Sherbrooke Phoenix have won all five of their recent matches without a single draw, scoring 19 goals while conceding only 8. Their form includes victories away at Blainville-Boisbriand and Victoriaville, plus home wins against the same opponents.

Shawinigan's recent results are more uneven. Three wins and two losses in their last five games, with goals level at 18 each way. The two defeats came in consecutive away matches against Drummondville, both heavy losses at 3:7 and 2:6. However, the home record tells a different story — two wins at home against the same Drummondville side, 5:1 and 3:2, plus a comfortable 5:2 victory over Baie-Comeau.

History heavily favours the home side. In 31 meetings over recent years, Shawinigan have won 20 times while Sherbrooke have claimed 11 victories. The visitors have struggled to impose themselves at the Cataractes' venue.

Expecting 4.1 goals for Shawinigan and 2.9 for Sherbrooke, the system points toward a high-scoring affair. It is nearly certain both score, while the chance of three or more goals totals 97%. The most likely outcomes are 4:2, 3:2, and 4:3, all favouring the home side.

If the visitors carry their current momentum into a game where they have historically struggled, the projection could prove wrong.