Skellefteå AIK Women vs Färjestad Women: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Skellefteå AIK Women to win against Färjestad Women, 65% confidence.

The hosts have dominated this fixture recently, taking 3 wins from 4 meetings. Their most recent encounter ended 4:3 in their favour on 7 December 2025, and they also won 2:1 away in October 2025. Färjestad's sole victory came 3:2 on 14 September 2025. The pattern suggests Skellefteå know how to handle this particular opponent.

Form tells a similar story. Skellefteå have won 2 of their last 5 matches, including a 2:1 away victory at SDE HF W on 12 October. Färjestad have managed only 1 win in 5 games, that being a 4:1 home success against HV71 on 20 September.

Both sides sit at 0 points in the SDHL Women standings, though Skellefteå have played one more game. The hosts occupy 7th place after 7 matches while Färjestad languish in 10th after 6 games. Neither team has found the consistency to climb higher, but Skellefteå's home record shows flashes of quality, including a 4:2 win over MODO Hockey on 25 September.

The model expects 2.4 goals for Skellefteå and 2.1 for Färjestad, with an 80% probability both teams score and an 83% chance of 3 or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 7%, 2:1 at 7%, and 1:1 at 6%. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat to the prediction.

The conclusion stops holding if Färjestad find a breakthrough early and manage the game effectively. They have shown they can score at home, and their 4:1 victory over HV71 demonstrates they are capable of attacking. If they take the lead and defend deep, the match could shift into a low-scoring affair where their defensive approach pays dividends.