Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Windsor Spitfires
Sudbury Wolves
Prediction for
Win: Windsor Spitfires
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 00:05Windsor Spitfires are the pick here, and the reasoning sits on three pillars: their head-to-head dominance, the model's expectation of a high-scoring affair, and Sudbury's vulnerability when playing away. The Wolves have won six of seven this season, but those victories have all come at home. Their sole loss came away to North Bay Battalion, and they conceded four goals in that match. Windsor have struggled at 5th in the standings, yet they have won four of the last seven meetings between these sides.
The Spitfires' recent form has been uneven. They lost their last two home matches — 2:3 against Saginaw Spirit and 1:5 to Oshawa Generals — but before that they won at home against North Bay and away at Owen Sound. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 15 across five matches, which suggests they can attack but also leave gaps at the back. Their defence has not been reliable on their own ice.
Sudbury's record looks stronger on paper. They have won four of their last five, including a 7:1 victory over Niagara IceDogs and a 7:3 win against Peterborough Petes. They have scored 26 goals in that span while conceding 12. The only blemish was a 3:4 away loss to North Bay Battalion.
The head-to-head history favours Windsor. Of the seven meetings recorded, Windsor have won four and Sudbury three. The most recent encounter on 7 February 2026 saw Sudbury lose 2:5 at home. Before that, Windsor won 4:0 and 6:2 at their own venue. The pattern is clear: Windsor have the edge when these sides meet, particularly when playing away in Sudbury.
The model expects a high-scoring game. Windsor are projected to score 4.3 goals and Sudbury 2.7, with a 97% probability of three or more goals and a 92% chance both teams score. The most likely scorelines are 4:2, 3:2, and 4:3, all favouring Windsor. The draw probability sits at just 14%, which reinforces the case for the Spitfires. This conclusion stops holding if Sudbury replicate their home form away from their rink — they would need to score at least three goals and keep a clean sheet to overturn the model's expectation.
Service Pick: Windsor Spitfires to win (confidence 70%)