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Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Benetton vs Dragons: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Benetton
Dragons
Prediction for
Win: Benetton
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
67%
1
33%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 20:00- Бенеттон, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Драгонс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Бенеттон — 4, 1 draws, Драгонс — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Benetton
LDLLL
1 draw · 4 losses
Dragons
DDWLW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 8
5Benetton
2Draw
1Dragons
- 28 FebDragons — Benetton15:15
- 10 JanBenetton — Dragons74:21
- 19 Oct 2024Dragons — Benetton21:31
- 20 Apr 2024Benetton — Dragons36:19
- 9 Oct 2022Benetton — Dragons34:14
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 20:00The result confirms a pattern where Benetton has won four of the last five matches between the sides, with only one draw recorded in 2026. The victory extends Benetton’s record of four wins in six encounters against Dragons since 2022.
Form and Context
Both sides entered the fixture having struggled in their recent outings. Benetton had won only one of their previous five matches. The Dragons had secured one win and one draw in their last five games. Despite the poor recent form, the historical gap remained significant, with Benetton winning all four matches since their last draw in February 2026.
Statistical Expectations
Pre-match modelling predicted a heavy advantage for Benetton, with expected goals set at 32.4 for the hosts compared to 19.2 for the visitors. The model assigned a near-zero probability to a draw or both teams scoring. The final outcome aligned with these projections.
Standings Implications
The result alters the standing of both teams in the United Rugby Championship. For Benetton, the win halts a streak of defeats and provides momentum after losses to Bulls and Sharks. For the Dragons, the result extends a run of poor performances that included a heavy 47-7 defeat to the Bulls in April. The victory marks Benetton’s first win in the fixture since January 2026.