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Narberth RFC vs Cross Keys: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Narberth RFC
Cross Keys
Prediction for
Win: Narberth RFC
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
68%
1
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 14:48- Нарберт, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Кросс Киз, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Нарберт — 2, Кросс Киз — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Narberth RFC
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Cross Keys
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 4
2Narberth RFC
0Draw
2Cross Keys
- 17 JanCross Keys — Narberth RFC31:13
- 20 Sep 2025Narberth RFC — Cross Keys21:17
- 19 Apr 2025Narberth RFC — Cross Keys29:17
- 14 Dec 2024Cross Keys — Narberth RFC30:24
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 14:48Narberth RFC defeated Cross Keys in the Premiership Rugby fixture on 19 September 2026. The home side extended their recent dominance, winning four of their last five matches, while the visitors suffered a setback after three victories in the same period. The head-to-head record remained level at two wins apiece, but the result in this encounter shifted momentum in favour of the hosts.
Narberth RFC ran them in from the first whistle. Their recent form included a 52-14 victory over Bonymaen and a 50-5 win against Brecon. Cross Keys had shown resilience in their previous home match, edging Neath 32-27, but struggled to maintain consistency away from home. The visitors recorded a heavy defeat to Llangennech (33-52) and lost to Merthyr (28-47) in their preceding away fixtures.
Narberth RFC’s point differential in their last five games stood at 194 points for and 88 against. Cross Keys’ differential was 172 points for and 164 against, reflecting a much tighter and more volatile form.
Historically, these two clubs have exchanged victories evenly. Narberth RFC won both previous home encounters against Cross Keys, scoring 21-17 in September 2025 and 29-17 in April 2025. Cross Keys had won their two home matches, including a 31-13 victory in January 2026.