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Nissa vs Beziers: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Pro D2 Stade Marcel Volot Nice Hit Match page
Nissa Beziers

Prediction for

Win: Nissa

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

60% 1
40% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:49

Nissa are favourites to win on Thursday, 4 September, when they host Beziers in Pro D2. Their recent record is stronger: three victories against two defeats, compared with Beziers' two wins and three losses. The model expects Nissa to edge the match, projecting 24.9 goals to Beziers' 21.7. That conclusion holds only if Nissa can replicate the defensive solidity they showed in their home victories over Rennes and Chambery, rather than reproducing the heavy 5:36 defeat to Biarritz on 27 August.

Recent form

Nissa have won 60% of their last five matches, securing 9 points from 15 available. Their three victories came at home against Rennes (47:5), Chambery (25:19) and Mont-de-Marsan (31:26). Beziers hold 6 points from their last five games, winning away at Carcassonne (30:20) and at home against Biarritz (43:17). Both sides have suffered defeats in their most recent outings, Nissa losing 5:36 away to Biarritz and Beziers losing 21:31 at home to US Oyonnax. The gap between them is 3 points in their respective records, and Nissa's home advantage adds weight to the expectation.

Scoring trends

Nissa have scored 128 goals in five matches while conceding 109, averaging 25.6 goals for and 21.8 against. Beziers have been more open, scoring 139 and conceding 117, averaging 27.8 goals for and 23.4 against. The numbers back up the prediction, though it leans slightly toward Nissa's more conservative output. The model predicts a Nissa win with no draw and both teams scoring.

League context

Both clubs have competed in Pro D2 and Nationale during the period covered by the data. Nissa's heavier defeat to Biarritz came in Pro D2, while their victories over Rennes and Chambery were in Nationale. Beziers' losses to US Oyonnax and Angouleme were in Pro D2, while their win at Carcassonne was also in that division. The mix of opponents and divisions makes direct comparison difficult, but the point totals still favour Nissa.

What could change the outcome

The outcome changes if Beziers can impose their higher-scoring style from the opening minutes. Their 43:17 victory over Biarritz shows they can produce big margins when they find rhythm. Nissa's recent 5:36 defeat suggests vulnerability to sustained pressure, particularly if they cannot contain opponents' attacking patterns. The model's 0% draw probability assumes Nissa will push for a win, but if they adopt a cautious approach after going ahead, Beziers could exploit the space.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:49
  • Нисса, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Безье, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nissa WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Beziers LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+