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Finland vs Netherlands: match prediction on 15 September 2026

CEV European Championship Nokia Arena (Tampere) / Various Tampere Miss Match page
Finland Netherlands

Prediction for

Win: Finland

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13

Finland to Win Against Netherlands

Finland are favourites to beat Netherlands in their CEV European Championship clash in Tampere on 15 September 2026. The home side sit top of the table with a perfect record of three victories from three matches, while the visitors have lost all three of their opening games.

Finland sit top of Group A with 8 points, Netherlands fifth with 1. Finland lead Group A with 8 points from 3 matches, having won every game they have played in this tournament. Netherlands occupy 5th place with just 1 point after suffering defeats against Serbia, Denmark and Belgium. Finland's recent form supports their standing. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches, including victories over Serbia 3:0 and Denmark 3:0 in the current championship. Their only loss came against Belgium 2:3. Netherlands have managed 2 wins from their last 5 games. They beat Denmark 3:0 and Belgium 3:1 away, but lost to Serbia 2:3 and have struggled against Finland on two occasions. Finland have dominated recent encounters. In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Finland have won both matches while Netherlands have not secured a single victory. Before that, Finland triumphed 3:1 at home in July 2026.

The statistical model expects Finland to take 3 sets to 1. The probability of a draw sits at 0%, with both teams to score also at 0%.

These figures reflect Finland's attacking threat and Netherlands' defensive vulnerabilities. Finland have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches while Netherlands have managed 10 goals in the same period.

Finland are clear favourites unless a key player is ruled out. A draw would suit the visitors given their need to avoid another defeat, but the data does not support that outcome.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13
  • Финляндия — 1. place, 8 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Нидерланды — 5. place, 1 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
  • Финляндия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Нидерланды, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Финляндия — 2, Нидерланды — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Finland LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Netherlands WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 3

2Finland 0Draw 1Netherlands
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+