Surgut region vs Yaroslavl: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Surgut region lead on current form.

Surgut region sit at the top of the table with 13 points from six matches, having won four and lost two, while Yaroslavl occupy second place with eight points from six matches, recording three victories and three defeats.

Surgut region have won three of their last five matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 22 over the same period. Yaroslavl have won just one of their last five, taking only three points while scoring six and conceding 13. Yaroslavl’s attack has stalled, managing just six goals.

Over four meetings in recent years Surgut region have won three times while Yaroslavl have won once. The most recent encounter ended 3:1 to Region Surgut in the Russian Cup on 5 April. Before that, Yaroslavl lost 2:3 away and 2:3 at home, both in cup competition. The only victory for Yaroslavl came 3:0 at home in the Superliga on 23 October 2025.

The forecast calls for Surgut region to score 3.3 goals on average and Yaroslavl 2.1. Markets price a draw out.

A draw would suit Yaroslavl, and given how they have tended to manage games when behind, that represents the main threat to a home victory. If Surgut region fail to score early and the match becomes tight, the visitors could find a result they have not achieved in three of the last four meetings.

Surgut win at 65%.