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Tekstilshchik vs Volzhanin Kostroma: match prediction on 15 October 2026

Vysshaya Liga A Palace of Games Sports Ivanovo Pending Match page
Tekstilshchik Volzhanin Kostroma

Prediction for

Win: Tekstilshchik

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05

Tekstilshchik to win. The hosts sit top of the table with 3 points from one match, while Volzhanin Kostroma languish in 12th place with none. The prediction is for a home win.

Tekstilshchik sit top after beating Volzhanin Kostroma 3:0 on 14 October. That result puts them clear at the summit. Volzhanin Kostroma's loss leaves them bottom of the 12-team table after a single game.

Over 13 meetings Tekstilshchik have claimed 6 victories while Volzhanin Kostroma hold 7. The most recent encounter ended 3:0 to the hosts, and before that Volzhanin Kostroma won 3:0 at home in the Russian Cup on 22 September.

Both sides share identical recent form: 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches. Tekstilshchik have scored 7 goals and conceded 9; Volzhanin Kostroma have netted 8 and let in 10. Neither side has managed a draw in that span.

The prediction stands unless there are lineup changes. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Volzhanin Kostroma sit deep and soak it up, the 0% draw probability could prove optimistic.

Tekstilshchik's expected goals figure of 2.3 suggests they most often score one or two in simulated versions of this match. Volzhanin Kostroma's 2.2 carries the same implication.

The visitors' only victory in their last five came against Tekstilshchik at home in the Russian Cup on 22 September.

Tekstilshchik's two wins in the same period came against Volzhanin Kostroma and Makhachkala, both at home. Their defeats came 0:3 away to Kama in the cup and 1:3 at home to Chelyabinsk.

The prediction gives 0% for both teams to score and 0% for three or more goals. Those outcomes have not appeared in the simulation.

If Volzhanin Kostroma turn it around after the break, or if an early red card changes the dynamics, the conclusion stops holding.

The hosts have won their only league match this season. The visitors have lost theirs. The head-to-head is evenly balanced over the long term, but the most recent meeting ended 3:0 to Tekstilshchik.

No odds data is available in the database. No odds history has been found. Web search for betting odds returned nothing.

The match kicks off at 16:00 UTC on 15 October 2026. The venue has not been confirmed in any public source. Weather information is not available.

Tekstilshchik's position at the top of the table gives them momentum. Volzhanin Kostroma's position at the bottom suggests they need something to change. A narrow victory for the hosts is expected.

If the visitors score first, the match opens up. Tekstilshchik would then have to attack, and that could create space for Volzhanin Kostroma to equalise. That scenario is not accounted for.

Any deviation from the expected pattern — an early goal for the visitors, a change in personnel, a shift in tactics — would require a different conclusion.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05
  • Текстильщик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Волжанин Кострома, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Текстильщик — 6, Волжанин Кострома — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tekstilshchik WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Volzhanin Kostroma WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 14

7Tekstilshchik 0Draw 7Volzhanin Kostroma
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+