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Throttur Reykjavik vs Throttur Nes: match prediction on 4 October 2026

Mizunodeild Laugardalshöll Reykjavík Miss Match page
Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Nes

Prediction for

Win: Throttur Reykjavik

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

71% 1
29% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:05

Throttur Nes secured a 3-2 win against Throttur Reykjavik at the start of play on Sunday, ending a six-match winning streak for the hosts in this fixture. The result moved the visitors into second place with five points from two matches, while Throttur Reykjavik dropped to third on four points. The scoreline mirrored the outcome of their previous meeting earlier this month.

Throttur Reykjavik had won all six meetings between the two clubs over the last few seasons. The most recent victory before this one occurred on 17 January 2026, when the hosts won 3-0. Since then, Throttur Nes had taken three points from the pair of fixtures played on 19 October and 18 October 2025, but Sunday's result marked the first time they had won when playing away to their city rivals in this period.

The match statistics suggest a contest where the visitors outperformed the hosts despite the latter's historical superiority. Throttur Reykjavik entered the match with two wins and three losses in their last five games, scoring ten goals and conceding twelve. Throttur Nes, in contrast, recorded three wins and two defeats, netting eleven times and keeping a cleaner defensive record with nine goals conceded. The visitors' ability to score in every match this season, including a 3-0 win over HK Kopavogur, proved decisive against the hosts' defence.

The final standings now place Throttur Nes in second position, ahead of Throttur Reykjavik. Both sides began the season with a win, but the visitors' consistency in away games contrasts with the hosts' struggles on home soil recently. Throttur Reykjavik's unbeaten run in the league ended with this defeat, while Throttur Nes extended their winning tally to two matches in succession.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:05
  • Троттур Рейкьявик — 3. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Троттур Несс — 1. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Троттур Рейкьявик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Троттур Несс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Троттур Рейкьявик — 6, Троттур Несс — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Throttur Reykjavik LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Throttur Nes WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 7

6Throttur Reykjavik 0Draw 1Throttur Nes
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+