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Ancud vs Universidad de Concepcion: match prediction on 16 October 2026

LNB Gimnasio Fiscal Luis "Caco" Suárez Ancud Miss Match page
Ancud Universidad de Concepcion

Prediction for

Win: Universidad de Concepcion

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

41% 1
59% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 00:45

Universidad de Concepcion extended their perfect start to the LNB campaign by defeating Ancud 88–81 on 15 October 2026. The visitors had not lost a single game in twelve matches prior to the final whistle, maintaining a 100 per cent record. Ancud, who sat in sixth place with four wins and eight defeats, failed to halt an opponent that had won fifteen of the last eighteen meetings between the two sides.

The statistical model forecast a combined score of nearly 170 points, predicting 81.7 for the hosts and 88.2 for the visitors. The actual total of 169 points reflected a game defined by high-volume shooting. Ancud averaged 63.5 field goal attempts and 27.9 three-point attempts per game over their previous ten matches, while Universidad de Concepcion recorded 65.2 field goal attempts and 28.6 three-point attempts. The visitors’ average of 14.4 made free throws compared to Ancud’s 13.3 suggested a slight edge at the line, though the margin was narrow.

Ancud arrived in the fixture with a difficult run of one win from their last five matches, having lost 415 points in that span to 383 scored. Their recent away form was particularly poor, with defeats to Puente Alto CD, Leones Quilpue, Puerto Montt, and CD Puerto Varas in the preceding weeks. Universidad de Concepcion, conversely, had won three of their last five games, including a 101–85 victory over Valdivia away. Their overall aggregate over the last five matches showed 424 points scored against 436 conceded, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters.

The head-to-head record favoured the visitors, who had won fifteen of the last eighteen meetings. Recent results included an 82–73 win for Universidad de Concepcion in the Supercopa de Chile in September 2025 and a 79–67 victory at Ancud’s home ground in October 2025. Ancud’s two wins in that period came earlier, including a 77–63 result at the Estadio Municipal de Concepción. The current standings placed Universidad de Concepcion at the top of the table with 12 wins and 0 losses, while Ancud remained in sixth place with 4 wins and 8 losses.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 00:45
  • Анкуд — 6. place, 0 points after 12 games (4 wins, 8 losses)
  • Университет Консепсьона — 1. place, 0 points after 12 games (12 wins, 0 losses)
  • Анкуд, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Университет Консепсьона, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 18 games, Анкуд — 3, Университет Консепсьона — 15

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ancud LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Universidad de Concepcion WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 20

4Ancud 0Draw 16Universidad de Concepcion
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+