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70%
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Bataan Risers vs San Juan Knights: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Bataan Risers
San Juan Knights
Prediction for
Win: San Juan Knights
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
41%
1
59%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 10:05- Батаан — 10. place, 0 points after 19 games (8 wins, 11 losses)
- Сан-Хуан Найтс — 2. place, 0 points after 16 games (15 wins, 1 losses)
- Батаан, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Сан-Хуан Найтс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Батаан — 0, Сан-Хуан Найтс — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Bataan Risers
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
San Juan Knights
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 3
0Bataan Risers
0Draw
3San Juan Knights
- 5 OctSan Juan Knights — Bataan Risers94:84
- 30 JunBataan Risers — San Juan Knights95:102
- 4 Apr 2025San Juan Knights — Bataan Risers82:67
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 10:05I back the San Juan Knights to win. They sit second in the MPBL with a 15-1 record and have won every meeting against Bataan Risers this season. The Risers are 10th with an 8-11 record and have yet to beat their opponents in three attempts.
San Juan are flying. They have won their last five games, including a 145-72 demolition of the Paranaque Patriots and a 120-67 win over Bulacan Kuyas. Bataan are more erratic. They have three wins and two losses in their last five, losing 89-96 at home to GenSan Warriors and 84-94 away to San Juan recently.
The history is stark. San Juan have won all three meetings. The most recent was on 05.10.2026, where they beat Bataan 94-84 at home. Before that, they won 102-95 in Bataan and 82-67 at home. The Risers have not come close.
The table reflects the difference. San Juan are second with only one loss. Bataan are 10th, sitting on a losing record. The Knights are chasing the title, while the Risers are fighting for a playoff spot.
The model predicts San Juan to score 89 points and Bataan 82.2. The probability of a draw is 0%. The expected points suggest a clear victory for the visitors.
If San Juan start on time, the prediction holds. A Bataan lead after the first quarter would change the dynamic. The Knights have shown they can blow teams out, so a slow start is the main risk.