Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Diablos Rojos vs Santos: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Diablos Rojos
Santos
Prediction for
Win: Diablos Rojos
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
59%
1
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 02:18- Диаблос Рохос, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Сантос, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Диаблос Рохос — 3, Сантос — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Diablos Rojos
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Santos
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 5
3Diablos Rojos
0Draw
2Santos
- 31 AugDiablos Rojos — Santos82:95
- 25 Jul 2025Diablos Rojos — Santos124:71
- 24 Jul 2025Diablos Rojos — Santos97:92
- 24 Jul 2024Diablos Rojos — Santos82:75
- 23 Jul 2024Diablos Rojos — Santos88:89
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 02:18Diablos Rojos to win, 59% confidence. The home side has dominated this fixture at their venue—three victories from four meetings—and carries a slight edge in recent form.
The most recent meeting ended 124:71 in July 2025, a result that stands out even among the others. Santos' sole victory came in the narrowest of margins, an 88:89 win in July 2024.
Diablos Rojos have taken six points from ten available in their last five matches. Santos have managed three points from the same span. The home side's two wins came against Abejas away and Gambusinos away; Santos' lone victory was a 87:63 win over Dorados at home.
Santos have lost four of five, including heavy defeats to Panteras (88:104, 75:85) and Soles (74:105).
The statistical model projects Diablos Rojos at 88.5 points and Santos at 78.9.
Santos have shown they can win tight games, as the 88:89 result demonstrates. If they keep the score close and exploit Diablos Rojos' turnover rate, the margin narrows significantly. A strong start from Santos, particularly in the first quarter, could disrupt the home side's rhythm. Diablos Rojos have shown vulnerability in close games—two of their five recent results were decided by three points or fewer.
If Santos find a way to control the tempo and limit Diablos Rojos' efficiency, the conclusion shifts.