Kavkasia vs Lausanne Basket: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Kavkasia are the clear favourites for this ENBL fixture on 14 October, with the model placing their chances at 61%. The home side's two consecutive victories at their own court—97:65 against BC Kutaisi 2010 and 108:84 versus Black Fortress—carry more weight than Lausanne Basket's mixed recent run, which ended with a heavy 65:94 defeat at home to Geneva Lions.

Both clubs have drawn level on six points from five matches, each recording two wins and three losses. Kavkasia's victories came at home, while Lausanne's successes were split between venues. The away side's most recent outing was a 74:81 loss to BK Liepāja in the ENBL, and before that a 94:80 home win over BBC Monthey-Chablais. Kavkasia's form shows a similar pattern of home strength—two wins on their own patch followed by a narrow 82:87 defeat to Dubrava Zagreb in their only ENBL fixture this window.

The model expects Kavkasia to score 88 points and Lausanne Basket 79.9. The gap between the two figures—8.1 points—suggests a comfortable margin for the hosts rather than a tight contest.

Lausanne have conceded 94 and 90 in their last two losses, while Kavkasia's home defeats this season came by just seven and eight points. The visitors' most recent home result was a 65:94 loss, which contrasts with their 90:55 win over Zurich.

Kavkasia's confidence in their home court would need to carry through against a side that has shown they can score 94 and 90 in a single game.

The prediction carries 61% confidence. That figure comes from the model's assessment of Kavkasia's home form combined with Lausanne's recent away struggles. The confidence sits where it does because Kavkasia have won both their most recent home matches, while Lausanne have lost three of their last five overall, including their last home game.