Novosibirsk vs CSKA Moscow 2: match prediction on 15 October 2026

CSKA Moscow 2 to win. I am 54% confident.

CSKA Moscow 2 have won three of their last five matches while Novosibirsk have lost every game they have played in that period. The visitors arrive with momentum; the hosts have not taken a point from any fixture since May.

CSKA Moscow 2's recent results show wins at Barnaul 86:70 and against Rusichi Kursk 88:77 in the Russian Cup, alongside a narrow home defeat to Dome-Springs Izhevsk 71:77 and a 60:56 victory over Tambov. Novosibirsk's run includes heavy losses at Ufa 59:101 and Temp Sumz Revda 77:105, plus defeats to Dynamo Grozny both away 57:60 and at home 62:66. The hosts have conceded 415 points while scoring only 330 across those five games.

Head-to-head history is finely balanced across 13 meetings, with Novosibirsk claiming six victories and CSKA Moscow 2 seven. The most recent encounter on 4 April ended 80:90 to Novosibirsk at the visitors' ground, but CSKA Moscow 2 have won three of the last four fixtures at their own arena, including a 91:60 win in February.

I expect Novosibirsk to score 73 points and CSKA Moscow 2 to score 75. A draw carries 0% probability, both teams to score 0%, and three or more points 0%. The difference between the two projections is 2 points, suggesting CSKA Moscow 2's superior recent form and Novosibirsk's inability to stop opponents.

Novosibirsk overturn this if they rediscover the scoring touch that produced a 79:60 home win over CSKA Moscow 2 in November 2024 and a 71:59 Cup victory in January. The hosts have beaten the visitors twice at home in the last two seasons, and a repeat of that pattern would overturn the current reading.