Wonju DB vs Goyang: match prediction on 4 October 2026

Goyang to win. The visitors have taken twelve points from their last five matches while Wonju DB managed only six, and that gap in momentum carries more weight than the even split in their recent head-to-head record.

Wonju DB's last five results read two wins and three losses, giving them six points and a goal difference of plus sixteen across 468 scored and 452 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 103:85 victory over Seoul Knights on 26 September, but before that came two defeats to KCC Egis in April, both at home or away in league play. Goyang, by contrast, have won four of their last five, including an 82:73 home result against KoGas Seoul Thunder on 3 October. Their only loss in that stretch came 68:76 to KCC Egis on 13 May, a result that now feels distant compared with their current run.

The six matches between these sides this year tell a different story. Wonju DB won 92:81 away on 28 March, then lost 95:81 at home on 7 March. Goyang took 90:77 at home on 15 January and 92:98 away on 27 December. Wonju DB won 83:76 at home on 18 October, and Goyang responded with 93:82 away on 18 November.

The model estimates Wonju DB will score 80 points and Goyang 82. It assigns zero percent probability to a draw, zero percent to both teams scoring, and zero percent to three or more points. Those figures suggest a narrow margin, which fits with the head-to-head record where most matches have been decided by single digits.

This prediction stops holding if Goyang's form reverses. A loss in their next fixture before this match would change the momentum entirely. If Wonju DB wins two of their remaining games ahead of this encounter, the gap closes enough to make an upset plausible. The model's figures also assume no major absences, and the data contains no team news, so an unexpected injury to a key player on either side would shift the balance.