ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR: match prediction on 30 August 2026
9 de Julio Rafaela
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction for
Win: 9 de Julio Rafaela
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
53%
1
27%
X
20%
2
Average bookmaker line (21)
1.69
1
3.30
X
4.54
2
Odds range
1.58 — 1.79
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41- 9 де Хулио Рафаэла — 6. place, 5 points after 4 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
- Дефенсорес де Белграно — 4. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
- 9 де Хулио Рафаэла, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Дефенсорес де Белграно, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, 9 де Хулио Рафаэла — 1, 3 draws, Дефенсорес де Белграно — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
LWWLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Defensores de Belgrano VR
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 7
19 de Julio Rafaela
3Draw
3Defensores de Belgrano VR
- 13 Jul9 de Julio Rafaela — Defensores de Belgrano VR1:2
- 10 MayDefensores de Belgrano VR — 9 de Julio Rafaela0:0
- 18 May 2025Defensores de Belgrano VR — 9 de Julio Rafaela0:1
- 16 Mar 20259 de Julio Rafaela — Defensores de Belgrano VR1:1
- 11 Aug 2024Defensores de Belgrano VR — 9 de Julio Rafaela1:1
Bookmaker market
21
bookmakers counted
1.69
Average bookmaker line
1.58 — 1.79
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41I see 9 de Julio Rafaela as the likely winner at 1.690, backed by home advantage and a model that projects 1.6 expected goals for the hosts against 0.9 for the visitors. The market agrees, pricing a home win at 53% once the margin is stripped out.
9 de Julio Rafaela have collected 5 points from 4 matches so far, sitting 6th in the table. Their last five games produced one win, two draws and two defeats. They beat Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1:0 at home on 12 August but lost 1:2 away to San Martín Formosa on 23 August. Their attacking output has been modest — four goals in those five matches — while they have conceded five. The hosts score heavily in the middle period: 26% of their goals arrive between the 46th and 60th minute, but they are vulnerable later, with 46% of their goals conceded after the 75th minute.
Defensores de Belgrano VR occupy 4th place with 7 points from 5 games. Their recent record mirrors the hosts — two wins, one draw, two losses — though they have been tighter defensively, conceding only twice in five matches. They won 2:0 away at Sportivo Belgrano on 17 August but lost 0:1 at home to Gimnasia Chivilcoy on 23 August. Their goal distribution shows strength in the first half, with 28% of their goals coming between the 31st and 45th minute.
Defensores de Belgrano VR have won three times, drawn three times and lost once. The most recent encounter on 13 July saw the visitors take a 2:1 victory at Rafaela's ground. That result came after a 0:0 stalemate in May 2024 and a 1:1 draw in March 2024.
The model points to a 1:0 scoreline as most likely at 13%, followed by 1:1 at 12% and 2:0 at 10%. The draw probability sits at 25%, with a 48% chance both teams find the net. This conclusion stops holding if Defensores de Belgrano VR score early and manage the game effectively. Their defensive record — conceding only two goals in five matches — gives them a platform to frustrate the hosts if they can exploit the gap between the hosts' vulnerability after the 75th minute.