Ararat II vs Olympia Yerevan: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Olympia Yerevan win. The visitors sit top of the First League with an unbeaten record, while Ararat II have lost every game they have played. The gulf between them shows in the table and in what the model expects for this fixture.

Ararat II's start has been brutal. Three matches, three defeats, zero points. They have conceded 15 goals and scored just 7, a ratio that tells you exactly where this team stands at the bottom of the table. Their only victory in the last five games came away to Araks Ararat by 4:0, but that was followed by losses to Shirak II, Araks Ararat again, Syunik, and Andranik. They are struggling to keep matches within reach.

Olympia Yerevan have done the opposite. Four wins and a draw from five matches puts them clear at the summit. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 5, and their most recent result was a 2:1 home win over Araks Ararat. They drew 0:0 away to Hayq in the Cup and picked up three league victories, including a 4:1 away win at Andranik and a 3:0 home win over Sardarapat 2. Their form is consistent and they are not dropping points.

The model expects Olympia Yerevan to score 2.3 goals and Ararat II to manage 1.3. The probability of a draw sits at 20%, while both teams to score comes in at 66%. The three most likely scorelines are 1:2 at 9%, 1:1 at 8%, and 1:3 at 7%. Seventy percent of simulated matches produce three or more goals. The visitors are expected to control the game and create enough chances to find multiple goals.

This conclusion stops holding if Ararat II find a way to contain Olympia's attack and the visitors fail to convert their chances. A 1:1 result would shift the balance, and if the home side scores early and defends deep, the visitors could struggle to break them down. The model assumes normal conditions, and anything that disrupts Olympia's rhythm changes the picture.