Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar: match prediction on 28 September 2026
Ario Eslamshahr
Havadar
Prediction for
Draw
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
27%
1
43%
X
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 14:35- Арио Эсламшахр — 7. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Хавардар — 16. place, 1 points after 2 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Арио Эсламшахр, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Хавардар, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Арио Эсламшахр — 0, 1 draws, Хавардар — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ario Eslamshahr
DWLWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Havadar
DLDLL
2 draws · 3 losses
Head to head 2
0Ario Eslamshahr
1Draw
1Havadar
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 14:35Ario Eslamshahr sit 9th with 3 points from 2 matches, while Havadar languish in 16th with just 1 point. The visitors need a result to escape the relegation zone, but their recent record suggests they will prioritise not losing over winning. Havadar's last five matches show 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses — and in their most recent fixture they lost 0:3 at home to Be'sat Kermanshah. They drew 0:0 away at Mes Rafsanjan, a result that fits their pattern of grinding out points rather than chasing victories.
Their last two meetings produced one draw and one Havadar win. The most recent, on 2 February 2026, ended 0:0 at Ario Eslamshahr's ground. The model expects 0.6 goals for the hosts and 0.7 for the visitors, with a 43% probability of a draw. The three most likely scorelines — 0:0 at 28%, 0:1 at 17%, 1:0 at 15% — all cluster around zero or one goal.
They score 33% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and another 33% in the 31-45 minute window, but zero in the final 15 minutes of matches. They concede 42% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes as well, suggesting they are vulnerable early but then settle. Ario Eslamshahr's pattern is different: 30% of their goals come in the closing 15 minutes, while they concede 50% of their goals in that same period.
There is no team news available, no suspension threats, and no injury concerns reported for either side. The Azadegan League's minimal online coverage means nothing has emerged ahead of this fixture.
They are 16th of 18 teams and need points to climb out of danger, but their recent form shows a side that will not risk everything. Ario Eslamshahr, mid-table with 3 points, have little to play for and have shown inconsistency — winning 1:0 away at Naft Gachsaran but losing 0:3 at home to Naft Masjed Soleyman. This conclusion would not hold if Havadar are forced to attack from the start, or if Ario Eslamshahr find a way to exploit the visitors' vulnerability in the opening 15 minutes, where Havadar concede 42% of their goals.