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Carabobo FC vs Zamora: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Primera División Estadio Misael Delgado Maturín Miss Match page
Carabobo FC Zamora

Prediction for

Win: Carabobo FC

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

60% 1
25% X
15% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41

Carabobo FC are favourites to take all three points against Zamora on 30 August 2026. Leading the table with 11 points after six matches, they hold a clear edge over eighth-placed Zamora, who have only 6.

Carabobo’s recent results show a pattern of resilience mixed with occasional lapses. They secured two wins and a draw in their last five outings, including a 1:0 victory over Metropolitanos FC at home. The visitors have managed only two wins in that period, one of which came in the Copa Venezuela against Real Frontera. Their away form remains a significant concern compared to the hosts.

The timing of goals suggests Carabobo will control the middle phase of the match. They score 27% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes, while Zamora concede 27% of their goals in the 31st to 45th minute window. This mismatch implies Zamora may struggle to maintain their defensive shape as the match progresses. Carabobo also tend to concede late, with 38% of their goals allowed falling in the final 15 minutes, which could open the door for a late winner if the score remains tight.

The statistical model anticipates a low-scoring affair, projecting 1.6 goals for Carabobo and 0.6 for Zamora. These figures reflect an average over many simulated versions of the fixture. The most likely scoreline is 1:0, with a 17% chance, followed by 2:0 at 13%. Both teams to score is estimated at 38%.

A draw would suit the visitors, who often look to run the clock down. If Carabobo fail to break through before the 60th minute, their tendency to concede late could allow Zamora to salvage a point. Disciplinary issues also loom, with several players in both squads having collected yellow cards or red cards recently, potentially disrupting the flow of the game if bookings accumulate quickly.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41
  • Карарабо — 7. place, 19 points after 13 games (4 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses)
  • Самора — 9. place, 17 points after 13 games (4 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses)
  • Карарабо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Самора, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Карарабо — 6, 1 draws, Самора — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Carabobo FC WDDLW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Zamora WDLDW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 11

6Carabobo FC 2Draw 3Zamora
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+