Deportivo Cali Women vs Santa Fe Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Deportivo Cali Women are favourites to take all three points against Santa Fe Women on 29 August, based on their superior recent form and a head-to-head record that has gone their way in five of eight meetings. Deportivo Cali win is projected at 57% confidence.

Deportivo Cali's last five matches produced four victories and a single defeat, yielding 12 points from 12 available. They opened the scoring in three of those wins and saw out a 2:1 away victory at América de Cali Women on 26 August, their most recent outing. The only blemish came at home against Millonarios Women on 9 August, a 1:3 loss that disrupted an otherwise clean run. Their goal distribution tells a story of late pressure: 33% of their six goals arrived between the 76th and 90th minute, with a further 33% in the 31st to 45th-minute block. They have conceded 25% of their four goals in the opening 15 minutes, suggesting vulnerability at kick-off that Santa Fe could exploit.

Santa Fe Women have struggled for consistency, managing just two wins from five matches to accumulate seven points. Their 4:4 draw with Fortaleza on 20 August revealed defensive fragility, while a 0:1 home defeat to Real Santander Women on 26 July exposed their inability to break down organised opposition. They score more freely than they concede—11 goals in five games compared to seven lost—but their timing is scattered across the match. 29% of their seven goals came in the first 15 minutes and another 29% between 46th and 60th minute, with zero goals between the 61st and 75th. Their defensive record shows no period of particular weakness, with 20% of goals conceded spread evenly across all six time blocks.

The historical balance between these sides favours Deportivo Cali decisively. In the last eight meetings, Deportivo Cali have won five, drawn twice, and lost once. The most recent encounter ended 1:1 at Santa Fe on 23 March 2026, but before that Deportivo Cali had won three of four fixtures, including a 2:0 victory at home on 29 March 2025 and a 2:0 away win on 17 August 2024. Santa Fe's solitary victory in that span came 1:0 at home on 14 September 2025, a result that stands as an outlier rather than a trend.

The statistical model projects Deportivo Cali to score 1.7 goals on average while Santa Fe are expected to find the net 0.9 times. The most probable outcome is a 1:0 victory for the hosts at 13%, followed by a 1:1 draw at 11% and a 2:0 win at 11%. The draw probability sits at 24%, while both teams scoring comes in at 46%. Three or more goals in the match are expected at 46%. Deportivo Cali's expected goals figure reflects a side that most often scores one or two, while Santa Fe's lower projection aligns with their mixed recent form and the difficulty of breaking down a disciplined defence.

Santa Fe could replicate their opening 15-minute threat and take an early lead, or Deportivo Cali's own 25% vulnerability in that same window could prove decisive. The figures are computed from goals scored and conceded across many simulated versions of the match; they know nothing of injuries or suspensions, and the absence of team news means the projection rests purely on statistical patterns. Deportivo Cali's dominance in the head-to-head and their four wins from five last out matches form the foundation, but football is not decided by averages alone.