Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Envigado vs Union Magdalena: match prediction on 1 September 2026
Envigado
Union Magdalena
Prediction for
Win: Envigado
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
38%
1
32%
X
30%
2
Average bookmaker line (32)
2.35
1
2.83
X
3.06
2
Odds range
2.25 — 2.40
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 21:13- Энвигадо — 4. place, 29 points after 15 games (9 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses)
- Унион Магдалена — 2. place, 32 points after 15 games (10 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Энвигадо, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Унион Магдалена, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Энвигадо — 1, 2 draws, Унион Магдалена — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Envigado
DLLLD
2 draws · 3 losses
Union Magdalena
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 7
1Envigado
2Draw
4Union Magdalena
- 9 AprUnion Magdalena — Envigado4:2
- 18 Oct 2025Union Magdalena — Envigado3:1
- 26 Apr 2025Envigado — Union Magdalena2:1
- 31 Jul 2023Envigado — Union Magdalena0:0
- 6 Feb 2023Union Magdalena — Envigado1:1
Bookmaker market
32
bookmakers counted
2.35
Average bookmaker line
2.25 — 2.40
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 21:13Envigado to win 1:0, 52% confidence
Envigado are in trouble. They have taken just four points from their last five matches, winning once and drawing once while losing three times. Their attack has produced only three goals across that run, and they have conceded seven. The most recent outing was a 0:1 defeat to Quindio away from home, and before that they lost 1:2 to Tigres FC. They are sitting fourth in the table with 29 points after 15 games, but the momentum is clearly running against them.
Union Magdalena are in a worse place. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, managing just one draw and suffering four defeats. They have not scored a single goal in that span, conceding six in return. Their last match was a 0:2 home loss to Quindio, and they have also lost away to Tigres FC FC and Santa Fe. They are second in the standings with 32 points after 15 games, but they are stuck in a rut that has left them scoreless for weeks.
The head-to-head record does not favour Envigado. The most recent encounter ended 4:2 to Union Magdalena in April, and before that Union Magdalena won 3:1 in October 2024. Envigado have only managed one victory in this fixture, a 2:1 win in April 2024. The visitors have dominated the recent history between these sides.
Envigado’s expected goals stand at 1.3, compared to Union Magdalena’s 0.9, with the draw probability sitting at 29% and both teams to score at 43%. The three most likely scorelines are 1:0 at 15%, 1:1 at 13% and 0:0 at 11%. Envigado have scored 22% of their goals in the 46-60 minute period and 22% in the 76-90 minute period, while Union Magdalena have scored 23% in the 31-45 minute block and 23% in the 76-90 minute block. Neither side has a clear pattern of finishing matches strongly.
Envigado need this result. They are top of the six-match standings with 11 points, while Union Magdalena are second with 9 points. The gap is small, and a win would strengthen their position at the summit. Union Magdalena have been unable to score for five games, and their attack looks toothless. They have conceded 10% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and only 10% in the final 15, but they have not been able to respond when behind. Envigado have the home advantage and the model slightly favours them, but the form of both sides suggests a tight, low-scoring affair.