Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Táchira: match prediction on 12 September 2026
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Táchira
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Táchira
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
28%
X
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40- Эстудиантес де Мерида — 6. place, 20 points after 13 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses)
- Депортиво Такира — 3. place, 24 points after 13 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses)
- Эстудиантес де Мерида, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Депортиво Такира, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Эстудиантес де Мерида — 1, 3 draws, Депортиво Такира — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC
WDWDL
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Deportivo Táchira
WLDWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 18
2Estudiantes de Merida FC
4Draw
12Deportivo Táchira
- 31 MayDeportivo Táchira — Estudiantes de Merida FC1:0
- 2 MayEstudiantes de Merida FC — Deportivo Táchira2:1
- 22 MarDeportivo Táchira — Estudiantes de Merida FC1:0
- 1 Sep 2025Deportivo Táchira — Estudiantes de Merida FC4:0
- 28 Mar 2025Estudiantes de Merida FC — Deportivo Táchira2:3
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40Deportivo Táchira defeated Estudiantes de Merida FC to remain in the top three of the Primera División. On 9 September 2026, the visitors secured the points against the sixth-placed hosts. Deportivo Táchira moved to 24 points from 13 matches, while Estudiantes de Mérida stayed on 20 points.
Form and Scoring
Deportivo Táchira arrived with stronger recent results, having taken 10 points from their previous five games compared to Estudiantes de Merida FC’s eight. The visitors had won three of those five matches, including a 5-2 victory away to Zamora and a 3-1 home win over Rayo Zuliano. In terms of goal distribution, Deportivo Táchira scored 29 percent of their total goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, a period where they also conceded 43 percent of their total goals. Estudiantes de Mérida conceded 25 percent of their goals in the same window.
Statistical Comparison
The two sides were evenly matched in possession during their last ten meetings, averaging 53 percent each. Deportivo Táchira recorded 4.88 shots on target per game, while Estudiantes de Merida FC averaged 3.4. In their most recent encounter in May 2026, Deportivo Táchira won 1-0. Estudiantes de Mérida’s top scorer, Kevin Stiven Quejada Lasso, had netted seven goals in the last six months, while Deportivo Táchira were led by R. Poliero with the same tally.
Standings Impact
The result confirmed Deportivo Táchira’s position in the upper half of the table. Before the match, they sat third with 24 points from 13 games. Estudiantes de Merida FC remained sixth on 20 points. The victory extended Deportivo Táchira’s dominance in the fixture, reinforcing a record where they had won seven of the last 11 meetings. The service pick for the match had predicted a Deportivo Táchira win with 41 percent confidence, a prediction that was fulfilled.