Fort Lauderdale CF vs New York City II: match prediction on 2 September 2026

New York City II to win, 65%. New York City II have taken 39 points from 24 matches, Fort Lauderdale CF only 12. The visitors have won 13 times, the hosts three. That difference in results carries through to expected goals: the model puts 2.1 for New York City II and 1.4 for Fort Lauderdale CF.

The table tells the story

The hosts have lost 21 of their 24 matches — only two draws separate them from a winless campaign. New York City II have dropped points in 11 of their 24 outings. The margin is 27 points, and it reflects something more than form over a week.

Recent matches show the same pattern. Fort Lauderdale CF have taken four points from five games — one win, one draw, three losses. New York City II have collected nine points from the same period, three wins and two defeats. The hosts lost 0:2 away at Huntsville City and 1:3 at Chicago FC United. New York City II responded to a 0:2 defeat at Toronto II with a 2:1 home win over New England II and a 5:0 victory against FC Cincinnati II.

When the game opens up

Fort Lauderdale CF score 46% of their goals after the 76th minute and concede 36% in the same period. New York City II follow a similar pattern — 38% of their goals come late, and 46% of those they concede arrive in the final quarter of an hour. Both sides are vulnerable when the clock runs down. The hosts have scored 35 goals and conceded 67. New York City II have scored 50 and let in 46. The model expects 3+ goals in 67% of matches between these sides.

The most recent fixture on 4 May 2025 ended 4:2 to the hosts. Before that, New York City II won 3:0 at home in June 2024.

The model's most likely scorelines are 1:2 (9%), 1:1 (9%) and 0:2 (7%). Both teams to score comes in at 65%. New York City II have shown they can convert chances — K. Flex has scored 10 goals in the last six months, S. Musu and Zh. Ponce five apiece. Fort Lauderdale CF rely on I. Zeltzer-Zubida, who has found the net nine times. The visitors are more balanced across the attack.

A draw suits New York City II in a way that does not match their record — they have not drawn any of their last five matches. If Fort Lauderdale CF sit deep and absorb pressure, the visitors might settle for a point and focus on their league position. That is the main threat to the away win. A late goal from the hosts could also produce a 1:1 finish, and with 21% of matches between them ending level, it is a possibility the model does not dismiss entirely.