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Godoy Cruz vs San Telmo: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Primera Nacional Estadio Feliciano Gambarte Godoy Cruz Hit Match page
Godoy Cruz San Telmo

Prediction for

Win: Godoy Cruz

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

59% 1
26% X
15% 2

Average bookmaker line (45)

1.55 1
3.52 X
5.92 2

Odds range

1.50 — 1.65

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41

Godoy Cruz to win. Confidence: 55%.

Godoy Cruz have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. San Telmo collected seven points from the same period, securing two victories and a draw. The hosts won away at Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste.

The league table separates the sides by 13 points. Godoy Cruz occupy sixth place with 40 points, while San Telmo sit in 15th with 27. The hosts have won 11 matches and lost eight. The visitors have won only six times and dropped 11 points from losses.

The teams met once on 11.04.2026, when San Telmo won 2:0 at home. That result came when Godoy Cruz were travelling, and the context of a home advantage shifts the dynamic. San Telmo kept a clean sheet in that fixture.

The statistical model projects a narrow home victory. Expected goals stand at 1.5 for Godoy Cruz and 0.7 for San Telmo. The most probable scoreline is 1:0 at 17%, followed by 2:0 at 13%. Godoy Cruz are dangerous early, scoring 24% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes. San Telmo concede 30% of their goals before the break, a vulnerability the hosts could exploit. The draw probability is 26%, while both teams scoring is 38%.

This final assessment relies on Godoy Cruz maintaining their attacking rhythm. A draw would suit the visitors, particularly if they can absorb pressure and run down the clock. If San Telmo score first, the match opens up, and the model's preference for a low-scoring home win dissolves.

The model favours a narrow home win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41
  • Годой-Крус — 6. place, 40 points after 26 games (11 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses)
  • Сан Тельмо — 15. place, 27 points after 26 games (6 wins, 9 draws, 11 losses)
  • Годой-Крус, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Сан Тельмо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Годой-Крус — 0, Сан Тельмо — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Godoy Cruz LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
San Telmo LDWLD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 1

0Godoy Cruz 0Draw 1San Telmo
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

45 bookmakers counted
1.55 Average bookmaker line
1.50 — 1.65 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+