Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Gyori ETO FC vs Ferencvárosi TC: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvárosi TC
Prediction for
Win: Gyori ETO FC
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
27%
X
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 18:33- Гьори ЭТО — 3. place, 9 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
- Ференцварош — 7. place, 7 points after 4 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Гьори ЭТО, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- Ференцварош, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Гьори ЭТО — 2, 3 draws, Ференцварош — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Gyori ETO FC
DLWWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Ferencvárosi TC
WDWWD
3 wins · 2 draws
Head to head 9
2Gyori ETO FC
3Draw
4Ferencvárosi TC
- 22 AprFerencvárosi TC — Gyori ETO FC2:2
- 19 AprGyori ETO FC — Ferencvárosi TC1:0
- 25 JanFerencvárosi TC — Gyori ETO FC1:3
- 28 Sep 2025Gyori ETO FC — Ferencvárosi TC0:2
- 24 May 2025Gyori ETO FC — Ferencvárosi TC1:2
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 18:33Ferencvárosi have collected 13 points from five matches — four wins and a draw — but Gyori ETO FC's home record tells a different story. They have not lost any of their first five league games, and the model expects 1.4 goals for the hosts against 1.1 for the visitors. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw at 13%, with the overall draw probability sitting at 27%.
Gyori ETO FC's last five matches produced one win, three draws and one loss. They beat Zalaegerszegi 3-0 at home but drew away to Kisvárda 1-1 and Debreceni VSC 1-1. Their Conference League campaign ended with a 1-0 defeat away to Riga FC. Ferencvárosi, meanwhile, have been virtually flawless — four wins and a draw against Gornik Zabrze. They won 2-1 away at Puskás Akadémia and 1-0 away at Zalaegerszegi, while also dispatching Trabzonspor 4-0 at home and 1-0 away in Europe. The visitors' attack has been prolific, scoring nine goals in five games compared to Gyori's six.
Gyori ETO FC score 30% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and concede 38% of theirs in the same window. Ferencvárosi concede 27% of their goals after the 75th minute and score 18% in that period. This pattern suggests a match that could open up late. Both sides have shown vulnerability in the closing stages, and Ferencvárosi's tendency to score in the final quarter of an hour means they are not immune to pressure when games are tied.
Eight matches have been played between these sides in recent years. Gyori ETO FC have won two, drawn three and lost three. The most recent encounters include a 2-2 Magyar Kupa draw in April 2026, a 1-0 Gyori victory at home in April 2026, and a 3-1 Gyori win away in January 2026. Ferencvárosi won 2-0 at Gyori in September 2025 and 2-1 at Gyori in May 2025.
The simulation projects 1.4 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 1.1 for Ferencvárosi. The 1-1 scoreline carries 13% probability, followed by 1-0 to the hosts at 12% and 0-1 to Ferencvárosi at 9%. Both teams to score sits at 49%, while three or more goals in the match reach 44%.
If the visitors take an early lead and protect it, the 1-1 outcome becomes less likely.