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Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Super League 1 Levadias Stadium Levadia Hit Match page
Levadiakos Panathinaikos

Prediction for

Win: Panathinaikos

37%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

18% 1
25% X
57% 2

Average bookmaker line (48)

5.12 1
3.78 X
1.62 2

Odds range

1.57 — 1.69

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 17:46

The visitors have not lost in six meetings against this side, and the most recent encounter produced a 4:1 victory in Athens. That result came on 8 March 2026, and it sits alongside four other wins in the last six matches between these clubs. Levadiakos have managed only one draw in that span, and it came at home to Panathinaikos the previous season.

The head-to-head record carries weight because it shows a pattern rather than a single result. Panathinaikos have won at both venues — 1:0 in Athens on 25 August 2024 and 1:0 in Athens on 3 September 2022 — while Levadiakos failed to score in three of the last six meetings. The 4:1 result in March was the only time Levadiakos found the net more than once against Panathinaikos in this period.

Recent form tells a different story at first glance. Levadiakos have won three of their last five matches, including a 2:0 cup victory over Asteras Tripolis and a 3:0 away win against Volos NFC. Panathinaikos have not lost either, with two wins and three draws from five games, mostly in the Europa Conference League. Both sides have collected 9 points from those five matches, but the Greek Cup fixture does not count as league form.

The model expects both teams to score, with a 56% probability and a 25% chance of a draw. Expected goals stand at 1.4 for each side, and the three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, followed by 0:1 and 1:0 each at 9%. Levadiakos score heavily between the 61st and 75th minutes, accounting for 40% of their goals, while Panathinaikos have a tendency to find the net late, with 29% of their goals coming after the 75th minute.

A draw suits the visitors, and that is the main threat to this prediction. Panathinaikos have drawn three of their last five matches, and they know how to manage games when ahead. If Levadiakos take an early lead and hold on, the model's 37% confidence drops away, because the visitors have shown they can grind out results without winning. The opening weekend of the season adds uncertainty, but the head-to-head record suggests Panathinaikos will start with more composure.

Selection: Panathinaikos win

Confidence: 37%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 17:46
  • Левадиакос — 14. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Левадиакос, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Панатинаикос, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Левадиакос — 0, 1 draws, Панатинаикос — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Levadiakos LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Panathinaikos WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 6

0Levadiakos 1Draw 5Panathinaikos
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

48 bookmakers counted
1.62 Average bookmaker line
1.57 — 1.69 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+