ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Lochin vs Respublika Fa: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Lochin
Respublika Fa
Prediction for
Win: Lochin
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
58%
1
23%
X
19%
2
Average bookmaker line (23)
1.55
1
3.88
X
4.67
2
Odds range
1.50 — 1.60
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 12:12- Лочин — 6. place, 32 points after 19 games (9 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses)
- Республика Фа — 11. place, 19 points after 18 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses)
- Лочин, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Республика Фа, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Лочин — 0, 1 draws, Республика Фа — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lochin
WWDLL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Respublika Fa
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 1
0Lochin
1Draw
0Respublika Fa
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
23
bookmakers counted
1.55
Average bookmaker line
1.50 — 1.60
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 12:12Lochin are the clear favourites at 1.55 and I see no reason to doubt that. The model expects 1.8 goals for the hosts against 0.9 for the visitors, and the market has priced the outcome at 58% once the margin is stripped away. A 1:0 scoreline carries the highest probability at 12%, which is where the data points.
Lochin sit in 6th place with 32 points after 19 matches, while Respublika Fa trail in 11th with 19 points from 18 games. The hosts have won nine times this season and lost five, whereas the visitors have won five and lost nine. Respublika Fa have played one fewer match, but the gap of 13 points remains significant and suggests the hosts should have too much for them on paper.
Both sides have collected seven points from their last five matches — two wins, one draw, two losses — yet the quality of those results differs. Lochin's recent record includes a 1-0 away win at Shortan and a 1-0 home victory over Jayxun, while Respublika Fa's wins came against Buxdu and Kattaqurgon. The visitors have been involved in more open games, scoring eight and conceding eight in that span compared to Lochin's 4:5.
The only head-to-head meeting this season ended 0:0 at Respublika Fa's ground on 5 May. The line has barely moved since opening — Lochin at 1.55, draw at 3.88, visitors at 4.67 — with just a 0.1% swing across 23 bookmakers.
Lochin score heavily between the 61st and 75th minutes, accounting for 40% of their goals, while Respublika Fa have conceded 29% of their goals in the final quarter of an hour. The visitors also score 24% of their goals in the last 15 minutes, which could keep them in the game longer than expected. The model's expectation of a single-goal victory for Lochin depends on the hosts capitalising in that middle period.
This conclusion stops holding if Respublika Fa take the lead early and run the clock down. Given their tendency to score late, a draw suits the visitors — and that is the main threat to the prediction. The 50% chance of both teams scoring means the visitors are capable of finding the net, and if they do first, the hosts would have to open up and expose themselves.