Mezőkövesd-Zsóry vs Gyirmot SE: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry to edge Gyirmot SE 1:0 or 2:1. The model puts home expected goals at 1.5 against 1.0 for the visitors, and the two most probable scores are tied at 12% each. Gyirmot sit fourth with ten points from five games, and have only two wins in five matches. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry are mid-table with six points but beat Videoton FC 2:1 away and BVSC 1:0 at home in their last two league outings.

Recent form is mixed. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry have won two and lost three in their last five, while Gyirmot SE have won two, drawn one and lost two. The visitors scored eight and conceded nine across those five games — a 1.8 goals per game aggregate that does not suggest defensive solidity. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry conceded five in five matches as well, but their last two results were clean sheets and narrow wins.

Head-to-head is tight. In the last two NB II meetings there was one draw and one Gyirmot victory. The 1:1 result at Mezőkövesd-Zsóry in February 2025 came after Gyirmot had won 2:0 at home in August 2024. Neither side has dominated this fixture recently, and the pattern suggests a match that could go either way.

The model's scoring distribution matters here. Both teams to score sits at 50%, while three or more goals total is 46%. The 1:1 and 1:0 outcomes are equally likely at 12%, with 2:1 at 9%. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry score 20% of their goals in the opening fifteen minutes and 20% in the final quarter, while Gyirmot SE have 50% of their six goals in the first half and 33% in the closing twenty minutes. Neither side shows a clear temporal weakness that would guarantee one outcome.

This prediction holds while Gyirmot SE continue to concede in open play. If they keep a clean sheet or score two or more goals, the model's 1.0 expected goals figure would be exceeded and the home advantage would no longer be decisive. A red card for either side, particularly for Z. Varjas who already has one booking, would change the dynamic entirely. The draw at 26% probability remains a live option if Gyirmot SE adopt a cautious approach.