TB vs Víkingur II: match prediction on 9 September 2026

A draw is the proposed outcome for this fixture, with the model assigning a 22% probability to the result. Víkingur II sit second in the 1. Deild table with 48 points, while TB occupy fifth place with 29 points after 21 matches. The gap between the sides is significant, yet the visitors have shown vulnerability away from home, including a 0:3 defeat to B71 on 22 August. TB have been more resilient at their own ground, securing a 5:1 victory over NSÍ II on 29 August.

TB’s attacking output has been uneven but potent in specific windows. The side has scored 14 goals in their last five matches, with 30% of their total goals arriving between the 61st and 75th minutes. Their expected goals figure stands at 1.7, suggesting a tendency to score one or two goals in most simulations. Defensively, however, they have conceded 36% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, a pattern that could expose them against a side comfortable in the closing stages.

Víkingur II have conceded only 5 goals in their last five games, a stark contrast to their 0:3 loss away to B71. Their expected goals are slightly higher at 1.8, reflecting a side that creates more chances. They have been particularly vulnerable in the 46th to 60th minute period, where 39% of their goals have been conceded. This mid-half fragility could be exploited by TB, who have scored 22% of their goals in the first 30 minutes.

The head-to-head record over the last six meetings offers little clarity, with Víkingur II winning three times, TB once, and two draws. The most recent encounter ended 2:2 on 17 May, reinforcing the idea of a tight contest. The model’s most likely scoreline is 1:1, with a 9% probability, followed by 1:2 and 2:1 at 8% each. These figures suggest a match where both sides will score, with the draw probability sitting at 22%.

The prediction relies on TB maintaining their home resilience and Víkingur II avoiding a repeat of their away struggles. A draw ceases to hold if Víkingur II score early, as they have conceded 13% of their goals in the first 15 minutes but also scored 8% in that period. Conversely, if TB fail to capitalise on their late-game strength, the visitors could take all three points. The model suggests a high-scoring game, with 68% probability for three or more goals.