Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gżira United: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gżira United
Prediction for
Win: Zabbar St. Patrick
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
25%
X
26%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 16:13- Заббар Сент-Патрик — 7. place, 4 points after 3 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Гзира Юнайтед — 12. place, 0 points after 4 games (0 wins, 4 losses)
- Заббар Сент-Патрик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Гзира Юнайтед, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Заббар Сент-Патрик — 3, 1 draws, Гзира Юнайтед — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
DLWDW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Gżira United
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 8
3Zabbar St. Patrick
1Draw
4Gżira United
- 28 FebGżira United — Zabbar St. Patrick1:1
- 11 JanGżira United — Zabbar St. Patrick0:2
- 28 Sep 2025Zabbar St. Patrick — Gżira United2:0
- 11 Apr 2025Zabbar St. Patrick — Gżira United1:2
- 13 Mar 2025Zabbar St. Patrick — Gżira United3:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 16:13Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gżira United Preview
Outcome: Zabbar St. Patrick win
Zabbar St. Patrick take on Gżira United at home on 14 September 2026, and I pick the hosts. The model puts Zabbar's expected goals at 1.6 against Gżira's 1.1. Zabbar sit seventh with four points from three matches, while Gżira are bottom with zero points from four games.
Zabbar have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five outings, including a 2:1 victory away at Hamrun Spartans on 6 September. Gżira have managed two wins and three defeats in the same period, with their most recent result a 1:4 loss at Floriana on 2 September. The visitors' away record has been particularly poor.
Zabbar won 2:0 at home on 28 September 2025, while Gżira claimed a 2:1 victory at home on 24 November 2024. Their most recent meeting was a 1:1 draw at Gżira on 28 February 2026.
Zabbar leak late; Gżira crumble in the dying minutes. Zabbar concede 30% of their goals between 61-75 minutes and 26% in the final 15 minutes. Gżira are weakest late on, conceding 31% of their goals in the 76-90 minute period.
The model suggests a 25% chance of a draw, 54% probability both teams score, and 52% for three or more goals. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 1:0 at 10%, and 2:1 at 10%. A home win suits Zabbar's profile.
Gżira can be dangerous when confidence is high, as shown by their 4:0 home win against Birkirkara FC on 17 August. An opening goal could shift momentum away from Zabbar's expected control.