Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Zamora
Deportivo Táchira
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Táchira
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (44)
Odds range
1.98 — 2.10
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 17
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 13:58Deportivo Táchira are the side most likely to take all three points here, with the market at 2.03 backing that view. The visitors have won four of the last six meetings between these sides, while Zamora have failed to secure a victory in that span. The draw probability is 29% and both-teams-to-score at 44%, pointing to a tight contest that the better side edges.
If the match stays goalless for the first hour, the visitors' tendency to score late becomes less relevant and the home side's defensive solidity in the opening stages matters more.
Zamora sit ninth with 17 points from 13 matches, four wins, five draws and four losses. Their last five games produced two victories, one draw and two defeats, yielding seven points and nine goals at each end. The 5:0 win over Real Frontera in the Copa Venezuela showed they can dominate, but the 6:1 loss to Real Esppor Club reminded everyone how quickly things can unravel. They score heavily in the first half — 20% of their goals come in the opening 15 minutes and 27% between 16 and 30 — but concede most of their goals in the final 15, where 23% of their total falls.
Deportivo Táchira occupy third place with 24 points from 13 games, seven wins, three draws and three defeats. Their recent form has been stronger: three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five outings, ten points and eight goals scored against six conceded. The 3:2 home win over Monagas and the 3:1 away victory at Trujillanos demonstrated their attacking range, though the 3:1 defeat at Metropolitanos showed they can be vulnerable on the break. They are most dangerous in the closing quarter, where 28% of their goals arrive, and they concede heavily there too — 44% of their goals against come in that period.
The head-to-head record shows Deportivo Táchira have won four of the last six meetings, with two draws and no victories for Zamora. The most recent encounter ended 2:1 to the visitors in March, and before that a 1:1 draw at Zamora's ground. Deportivo Táchira have won four of six, while the home side have yet to find a solution.
The line opened at 2.03 for Deportivo Táchira and has not moved since, with 44 bookmakers pricing the match. The draw sits at 3.10 and Zamora's chance at 3.45. Zamora are expected to score one goal and Deportivo Táchira 1.2, with the most likely scorelines being 0:1 at 13%, 1:1 at 13% and 0:0 at 11%. Both teams carry disciplinary concerns — Zamora have Richard Enrique Celis Sánchez one booking from suspension and two players with recent red cards, while Deportivo Táchira have three players with red cards in the last three weeks.
The home side will not find a way through unless they score early. Deportivo Táchira's tendency to dominate the final quarter of matches means they can withstand pressure and then punish any lapse. The 29% draw probability reflects the possibility of a stalemate, but the visitors' record in these encounters suggests they will edge it.