Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
Donbas Mariupol vs Karpaty Uzhhorod Women: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Donbas Mariupol
Karpaty Uzhhorod Women
Prediction for
Win: Donbas Mariupol
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 16:05- Донбасс Мариуполь — 6. place, 5 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Карпаты Ужгород (жен.) — 5. place, 6 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Донбасс Мариуполь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Карпаты Ужгород (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Донбасс Мариуполь — 12, Карпаты Ужгород (жен.) — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Donbas Mariupol
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Karpaty Uzhhorod Women
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 12
12Donbas Mariupol
0Draw
0Karpaty Uzhhorod Women
- 7 MarDonbas Mariupol — Karpaty Uzhhorod Women40:25
- 6 MarDonbas Mariupol — Karpaty Uzhhorod Women41:24
- 18 Oct 2025Karpaty Uzhhorod Women — Donbas Mariupol28:40
- 15 Feb 2025Donbas Mariupol — Karpaty Uzhhorod Women29:26
- 14 Feb 2025Donbas Mariupol — Karpaty Uzhhorod Women31:24
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 16:05Donbas Mariupol win. The head-to-head record is the governing factor here: twelve meetings, twelve victories for the hosts, zero for the visitors. The model backs this with expected goals of 36.6 to 28.1, a spread that makes the direction of this fixture clear.
Karpaty Uzhhorod Women sit fifth on 6 points from four matches, while Donbas Mariupol trail in sixth with 5 points, also after four games. Both sides are unbeaten—Karpaty with 2 wins and 2 draws, Donbas with the same record of 2 wins and 2 draws. The gap is narrow, but the head-to-head makes it irrelevant.
Karpaty have looked sharper of late. Four wins and one defeat in their last five matches, including a 55:40 victory away at Kharkiv on 18 September and a 47:38 win in the return fixture. Their only blemish came away at Motor Zaporozhye on 18 April, a 14:44 defeat that remains in the record. Donbas have been more volatile—three wins and two losses in their last five, with results swinging between a 38:35 win at Odesa and a 32:40 home loss to Spartak Kyiv on 19 September.
The head-to-head is complete in the records available. Donbas Mariupol have won every single meeting recorded in the database. The most recent two matches came on 6 and 7 March 2026, when the hosts won 41:24 and 40:25 in consecutive fixtures. Karpaty have not been able to find a pathway through, and the model's expected goals figure of 36.6 for Donbas against 28.1 for Karpaty reflects that pattern of dominance.
The model does not expect a draw, with the stated probability at 0%, and the expected goals spread does not support a close finish. The data offers no scenario for Karpaty overturning the trend. A win for Donbas Mariupol is what the numbers point to.