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Porto
ABC Braga
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72%
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Helsingborg HK Women vs Onnereds Women: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Helsingborg HK Women
Onnereds Women
Prediction for
Win: Onnereds Women
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
5%
1
95%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 18:16- Хельсингборг ХК Женщины — 3. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Оннередс Женщины — 1. place, 6 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Хельсингборг ХК Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Оннередс Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Хельсингборг ХК Женщины — 0, Оннередс Женщины — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Helsingborg HK Women
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Onnereds Women
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Helsingborg HK Women
0Draw
2Onnereds Women
- 30 AugOnnereds Women — Helsingborg HK Women35:21
- 29 Aug 2024Helsingborg HK Women — Onnereds Women21:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 18:16Onnereds Women are the clear favourites to advance. They beat Helsingborg HK Women 35:21 just four days ago on 30 August, and they have won both meetings between these sides. A draw would suit neither side, but Onnereds have the momentum and the record.
Recent meetings
Onnereds have not lost to Helsingborg in two encounters. The most recent ended 35:21 at Onnereds' ground on 30 August, with the visitors managing only 21 goals. The earlier fixture, played on 29 August 2024, finished 26:21 in favour of Onnereds away from home. Two wins, zero for Helsingborg.
Cup standings
Onnereds sit first in the Swedish Cup Women with six points from three matches, having won all three. Helsingborg HK Women are third with three points from three matches, their record reading one win, one draw, one loss. Onnereds have taken every point available; Helsingborg have dropped half of them.
Form
Both sides have won four of their last five matches, each with one defeat. Helsingborg's losses came against Onnereds in the cup on 30 August and against Skara Women in the league on 2 May. Onnereds' only defeat this season was also against Skara, 20:26 at home on 2 May. The results mirror each other, but the opponent matters. Helsingborg lost to Onnereds; Onnereds did not lose to Helsingborg.
Model figures
The model projects expected goals of 7.3 for Helsingborg and 73.9 for Onnereds, with a 0% probability for a draw, 0% for both teams to score, and 0% for three or more goals. These numbers are internally inconsistent and do not align with the actual scores recorded in the two previous meetings. What matters is the 35:21 result from four days ago, not a simulation that produces an absurd 73.9 goals.
Conditions
Helsingborg HK Women would need to produce a performance that matches or exceeds their best output against non-Onnereds opposition. They scored 35 goals in a cup match against Tumba Women on 18 August and 33 goals away to Aranas Women on 26 April. If they can replicate that intensity against a team that already beat them by 14 goals, the outcome changes. A draw would also defy the prediction, though Onnereds have not drawn all season and Helsingborg have drawn only once.