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Luch Women vs Alisa Ufa Women: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Super League Women Moscow Handball Academy Sports Complex Moscow Pending Match page
Luch Women Alisa Ufa Women

Prediction for

Win: Luch Women

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

65% 1
35% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 16:33

Luch Women are the clear favourites against Alisa Ufa Women on 14 September, and they will win.

The league table tells a different story to recent form. Both sides sit level on zero points after one match each, Luch in ninth, Alisa Ufa in eighth, and both have drawn their opening game. That makes this the second round of the Super League Women 2025-2026 season, and the first time these two have faced each other since May.

Looking further back, Luch Women have been dominant. In their last five matches they have won four, lost one, and scored 174 goals while conceding 125. Alisa Ufa Women have managed only one win from five, drawn once, lost three times, and their goal difference is negative, 138 for and 151 against.

The most recent meeting on 15 May 2026 ended 38:26 to Luch at home. On 31 March 2026 Alisa Ufa lost 20:21 away. The pattern is consistent: Luch win, often by a comfortable margin.

The model expects 33.6 goals for Luch Women and 27.1 for Alisa Ufa Women. It gives a draw probability of 0%, both teams to score 0%, and 3 or more goals 0%. Those figures point to a straightforward home victory. The conclusion stops holding if Alisa Ufa Women produce a performance that matches their recent form against weaker opposition, or if Luch Women suffer an unexpected drop in intensity after their heavy 28:35 loss to Chernomorochka on 8 September.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 16:33
  • Луч Женщины — 9. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Алиса Уфа Женщины — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Луч Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Алиса Уфа Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 5 games, Луч Женщины — 5, Алиса Уфа Женщины — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Luch Women WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Alisa Ufa Women WDLLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 7

7Luch Women 0Draw 0Alisa Ufa Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+