Brühl Women vs Rotweiss Thun Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Brühl Women to win

I see no reason to doubt Brühl Women here. They have won all eight meetings with Rotweiss Thun Women, often by margins that suggest this is not a close contest. The model puts their expected goals at 31.7 to 24.6, and the draw probability sits at 0%. That is not a suggestion — it is a calculation based on what has happened before.

Brühl Women have taken six points from their last five matches, winning two and losing three. Their goals stand at 123 scored and 132 conceded. The losses came by narrow margins — 22:25, 24:32, 26:27 — while the wins were tighter still: 24:22 and 27:26. They are not flying high in form, but they are competitive.

Rotweiss Thun Women have been steadier, taking eight points with two wins, two draws and one loss. Their goal difference is 157:149, positive but not overwhelming. The draws against Aargau Ost and Nordwest suggest they can grind out results, but the 30:38 defeat at home to Zug II shows vulnerability when things open up.

The head-to-head tells a different story entirely. Brühl Women have never lost to Rotweiss Thun in eight attempts. The most recent encounter ended 34:18 in January, and before that 31:38 in November. Even away from home, Brühl won 38:31 in November 2025 and 40:24 in August 2024. The pattern is consistent: Brühl dominates, and the gap is wide.

I am backing Brühl Women to win again. The model's expected goals reinforce this — 31.7 for Brühl against 24.6 for Rotweiss Thun, with no chance of a draw in the simulation. The only way this prediction fails is if Rotweiss Thun manages to shut down Brühl's attack completely or if Brühl underperforms relative to their recent scoring output.